Tropical Cyclone 03L (Claudette)…is located 260 miles west of Cape Fear, North Carolina
Gulf of Mexico:Tropical Cyclone 03L (Claudette)CLAUDETTE FORECAST TO RE-STRENGTHEN BEFORE IT EXITS THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA…LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINA’S THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
What the computer models are showing
According to the NHC: An east-northeastward to northeastward motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the system should continue to move across portions of the southeastern U.S. through tonight, move over the coast of North Carolina into the western Atlantic Ocean on Monday, and pass near or just south of Nova Scotia on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some re-strengthening is expected tonight, and Claudette is forecast to become a tropical storm again late tonight or early Monday over eastern North Carolina.
Some additional strengthening is possible over the western Atlantic Ocean through early Tuesday. Claudette is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone Tuesday afternoon or Tuesday night.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND RAINFALL: Claudette is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches across the eastern portions of the Florida Panhandle into North Florida, southern Georgia, central and coastal South Carolina into eastern North Carolina through Monday morning. Flash, urban and small stream flooding impacts, as well as new and renewed minor river flooding are possible across these areas.
Storm total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated 15 inch amounts was observed in southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and the western Florida panhandle.
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…
NC/VA Border to Cape Lookout, NC…1-3 ft
Cape Lookout, NC to Little River Inlet, SC…1-2 ft
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area late tonight or early Monday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area tonight and Monday.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today across parts of Georgia and the Carolina’s.