Tropical Cyclone 03L (Claudette)…is located 45 miles west-northwest of Montgomery, Alabama
Gulf of Mexico:Tropical Cyclone 03L (Claudette)CENTER OF CLAUDETTE MOVING INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA…HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
What the computer models are showing
According to the NHC: the depression is moving toward the northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the east-northeast is expected tonight and Sunday.
On the forecast track, the system should cross portions of the southeast U.S. through Sunday night, and move over the coasts of the Carolina’s into the western Atlantic Ocean on Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are now near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are mainly occurring over the Gulf of Mexico well to the south of the center. Little change in strength is expected tonight and Sunday.
However, the cyclone is forecast to become a tropical storm again when it moves across the Carolina’s Sunday night or early Monday.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND RAINFALL:Claudette is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches across eastern Alabama, northern Georgia, the Florida Panhandle, and South and North Carolina. Flash, urban and small stream flooding impacts as well as new and renewed minor to isolated moderate river flooding are likely across these areas.
The storm total rainfall is expected to be 5 to 10 inches with isolated 15 inch totals in southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and the western Florida panhandle.
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…
Cape Lookout, NC to NC/VA Border…1-3 ft
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area Sunday night and Monday.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this evening and tonight across southeast Alabama, the western Florida Panhandle, and southwest Georgia.