There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
Atlantic Ocean:Caribbean Sea:Gulf of Mexico:
What the computer models are showing for this tropical disturbance…which is being referred to as Invest 92L
Shower activity associated with the broad low pressure area over the Bay of Campeche and the adjacent land areas has become a little better organized since yesterday. This system will move little tonight, and little if any development is expected during that time due to interaction with land.
However, the low should begin to move northward on Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves across the western Gulf of Mexico.
An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the area on Thursday, if necessary.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next few days. Heavy rains should also begin to affect portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent