Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones1.) An area of low pressure, being referred to as Invest 98L, centered inland over South Carolina continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and heavy rain over portions of the southeastern United States. The low is expected to move east-northeastward toward the coast later today and then turn northeastward near or just offshore of the Carolinas and the mid-Atlantic states Thursday and Friday, where a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form if the low moves over water. Regardless of development, the low is expected to to produce locally heavy rainfall that could cause flash flooding across portions of the southeastern and mid-Atlantic U.S. during the next few days.
What the computer models are showing
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent