Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.4 - 37 km NNE of Pangai, Tonga

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Oakdale, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - near the Tonga Islands - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Hawaiian Islands) - Tonga - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Tonga - 6.7

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 5, 2020

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Typhoon 11W (Haishen)…is located approximately 146 NM east-northeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa, Japan

Tropical Cyclone 15E (Julio)…is located 165 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico

 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP15/refresh/EP152020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/025251_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/EPAC/15E.JULIO/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20200905.2330.goes17.x.vis1km_high.15EJULIO.35kts-1005mb-158N-1019W.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 15E (Julio)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 2Julio is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days with some decrease in forward speed, Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two. Weakening should begin by early next week and Julio is forecast to dissipate within 72 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png
Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

 

Tropical Cyclone 11W (Haishen) 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/11W.HAISHEN/vis/ols/1km/20200905.2119.f17.x.vis1km.11WHAISHEN.105kts-934mb-263N-1307E.092pc.jpg

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1120.gif

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, Typhoon 11W is still in an overall favorable environment, with low 5-10 knot northeasterly wind shear, excellent poleward outflow, strong equatorward outflow, and very warm sea surface temperatures….however, subsidence along the northwest quadrant has continued to hamper further intensification.

The typhoon will continue to track poleward through the remainder of the forecast period. Through 24 hours there is a fair possibility of limited intensification. Despite this, the system is forecast to weaken slightly through 24 hours. Ty Haishen will gradually weaken further to 80 knots by 36 hours, due to moderate 15-25 knot wind shear and cooling sea surface temperatures prior to making landfall west of Busan, South Korea.

As the system begins to track over the Korean Peninsula shortly after 36 hours, it will rapidly weaken due to interaction with the underlying terrain and high 35+ knot wind shear. By 48 hours, the system will weaken to 55 knots.

After 48 hours, the system will briefly cross over the Sea of Japan before making landfall a second time again on the Korean Peninsula. During this time, high wind shear and continued land interaction will lead to further weakening by 72 hours to 35 knots.

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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