Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    11 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    43 minutes ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    37 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    45 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    55 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Port Arthur, TX Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mullins, SC Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 4, 2020

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Typhoon 11W (Haishen)…is located approximately 273 NM east-southeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa, Japan

 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_pac_5d0.png

A well-defined low pressure system is located about 100 miles south of the the southern coast of Mexico. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains displaced well to the west of the low. Although upper-level winds are forecast to inhibit further development during the next couple of days, only a small increase in thunderstorm activity near the surface center of circulation could result in the formation of a tropical depression. This system is expected to move generally west-northwestward, near or along the southern coast of Mexico during the next few days. Regardless of development, this system could produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png
Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

 

Tropical Cyclone 11W (Haishen) 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/11W.HAISHEN/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200904.1730.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.11WHAISHEN.135kts-916mb-227N-1335E.100pc.jpg

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1120.gif

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, Typhoon 11W is tracking through an overall favorable environment, characterized by low wind shear, radial outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures.

In the near term, the system will continue to track north-northwest through 48 hours. Thereafter the storm will turn more northward and is forecast to track just west of Kyushu…although could get within 80 NM west of Sasebo, Japan.

Similarly, as the system makes landfall in South Korea, there’s some uncertainty in the exact track over South Korea.
Through 24 hours, TY 11W is expected to maintain Super Typhoon intensity. Afterwards, as the system tracks poleward, it will weaken first gradually and then more rapidly as it interacts with the mountainous terrain of the Korean Peninsula.
In the extended period, models show the system accelerating poleward and significantly weakening, as it tracks over the Korea Peninsula, due to increasing wind shear and terrain interaction.

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 91S, which is located approximately 439 NM east of Diego Garcia

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android wwwices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

 

Connect with us