CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 18E (Marie)…is located about 725 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Cyclone 18E (Marie)
What the computer models are showing
According to the NHC’s Advisory 8…Marie is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue over the next day or two, followed by a gradual turn toward the west-northwest with decreasing forward speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast, and Marie is expected to become a major hurricane by Friday with some additional strengthening thereafter. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km).
>>> A broad area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico in a few days.
Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for slow development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Western North Pacific
North Indian Ocean
South Indian Ocean
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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