Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    6 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Atlanta, GA Region, United States

    10 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    26 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Dalton, GA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Yuba City, California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Blue Ridge Fire), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Silverado Fire), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Grand County (East Troublesome Fire), Colorado, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Washington, DC--VA--MD Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Atsani

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Piggott, AR Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Cassville, MO Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Zeta

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mobile, AL Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Fort Leonard Wood, MO Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Antananarivo - Madagascar

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Ambatondrazaka, Toamasina - Madagascar

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Chattanooga, TN--GA Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Typhoon - Goni

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Fort Smith, AR--OK Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Newport, TN Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Shetland Islands

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - South Shetland Islands

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 35 km W of Rauco, Chile

    14 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - Easter Island region

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - South Shetland Islands

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Pacific-Antarctic Ridge

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Northern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Karnataka, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Greece

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Java Province, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mozambique

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 63 km N of La Serena, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 56 km WSW of Changuillo, Peru

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 65 km SSW of Sola, Vanuatu

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 123 km NNE of Atka, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southwestern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cambodia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Laos

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Sumatra Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - North Cotabato, Philippines

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Guimbal, Philippines

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bagerhat, Bangladesh

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Jamaica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Monkeypox - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 weeks ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 21, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 14W (Dolphin)…located approximately 551 NM south-southwest of  Yokosuka, Japan
Tropical Cyclone 17E (Lowell)…465 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

 

Northeast Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP17/refresh/EP172020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/205459_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/EPAC/17E.LOWELL/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20200921.2030.goes17.x.vis1km_high.17ELOWELL.40kts-1001mb-173N-1129W.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 17E (Lowell)

What the computer models show

According to the NHC Advisory 6…Lowell is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Wednesday, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is anticipated during the next few days, and Lowell could be near hurricane strength by Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 85 miles (140 km) from the center.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1420.gif

Tropical Cyclone 14W (Dolphin)

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, sea surface temperatures remain warm and conducive for further development. However, moderate 15-20 knot wind shear has persisted. This higher wind shear, along with subsidence are offsetting the outflow and warm seas…resulting in an overall marginally favorable environment.

TS 14S will begin to track northward through 24 hours, and take a generally northeasterly track thereafter. Continued marginally favorable conditions will allow the system to further intensify to a peak of 55 knots by 36 hours.

Environmental conditions after 36 hours will begin to degrade due to higher 30+ wind shear, hampering further intensification. Upon the approach to the Kanto Plain, TS Dolphin will weaken to 45 knots and remain as a significant extratropical low.

 

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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