Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - Tonga - 6.7

    8 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 6.7 - 64 km SE of Neiafu, Tonga

    9 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Florence, SC Region, United States

    17 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    25 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    57 minutes ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    51 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    59 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Port Arthur, TX Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 2, 2020

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Tropical Cyclone 10W (Maysak)…is located approximately 24 NM north-northwest of Busan, South Korea – Final Warning

Tropical Cyclone 11W (Haishen)…is located approximately 700 NM east-southeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa, Japan

 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_pac_5d0.png

The remnants of Atlantic basin Tropical Storm Nana could emerge over the eastern Pacific waters near the Gulf of Tehuantepec on Friday. Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to limit development through the weekend while the system moves generally west-northwestward near the southern coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png
Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

 

Tropical Cyclone 10W (Maysak) – Final Warning

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/10W.MAYSAK/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200902.1400.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.10WMAYSAK.90kts-952mb-331N-1279E.100pc.jpg

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1020.gif

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, the environment has degraded slightly over the past 6-hours, with warm sea surface temperatures offset by moderate 15-20 knot wind shear…while the system is approaching the coast of South Korea.

Typhoon Maysak will track generally northward, and make landfall west of Busan, South Korea before 12 hours. The system will track over the rugged terrain of the Korean Peninsula, where frictional effects and high >30 knot wind shear will lead to rapid weakening to 70 knots by 12 hours.

The system will then continue to track northward, briefly move over the Sea of Japan and make a second landfall on the Korean Peninsula and weaken to 45 knots by 24 hours…as it tracks into mainland China.

 

Tropical Cyclone 11W (Haishen)

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/11W.HAISHEN/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200902.1400.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.11WHAISHEN.70kts-984mb-195N-1404E.100pc.jpg

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1120.gifwe

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, Initially, highly favorable favorable environmental conditions of low 5-15 knot wind shear, very warm sea surface temperatures and continued divergent flow aloft will allow the system to intensify to 110 knots by 48 hours.

There is a distinct chance of rapid intensification during this time, due to the highly favorable environmental conditions. This intensification trend will slow after 48 hours, as TY Haishen begins a more northwestward track due to increasing, moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, resulting in a peak intensity of 120 knots by 72 hours.

Beyond 72 hours, the TY will continue to track northwestward, while continued favorable conditions will allow the system to maintain its peak intensity of 120 knots through 96 knots, as it begins its approach towards the Korean Peninsula.

Between 96 and 120 hours, Haishen will track west of Kyushu and cross the Korean Strait, ultimately making landfall over South Korea near Busan before 120 hours. At this time, the intensity will drop rapidly due to the frictional effects of the underlying terrain.

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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