CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 13W (Noul)…is located approximately 174 NM west of Da Nang, Vietnam – Final Warning
An area of disturbed weather extends several hundred miles south of the coast of southwestern Mexico. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form from this disturbance in a couple of days, and gradual development of the low is possible during the early to middle part of next week while it moves generally west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Western North Pacific
Tropical Cyclone 13W (Noul) – Final Warning
Here’s what the computer models show
According to the JTWC, despite robust equatorward outflow, TS 13W is tracking through an unfavorable environment, characterized by 20-30 knot northeasterly wind shear and over mountainous terrain.
These adverse conditions will lead the storm to steadily weaken as it tracks westward under the steering influence of a subtropical ridge of high pressure to the north.
The system is forecast to dissipate over land by 24 hours.
North Indian Ocean
South Indian Ocean
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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