Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Earthquake - 4.9 - 4km NE of Westmorland, CA

    15 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    18 minutes ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Makhachkala, Dagestan - Russia

    12 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    20 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    30 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    50 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lehututu, Kgalagadi - Botswana

    51 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Nokaneng, North-West - Botswana

    51 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Rundu, Kavango - Namibia

    52 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Grootfontein, Otjozondjupa - Namibia

    52 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Barreiras, Bahia - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Gurupi, Tocantins - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Balsas, Maranho - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Floriano, Piau - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Pozo Colorado, Presidente Hayes - Paraguay

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of San Jos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Alvorada, Tocantins - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Rio Cuarto, Crdoba - Argentina

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of San Bernardino (EL Dorado), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Plumas and Lassen Counties (North Complex), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Monterey County (Dolan Fire), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Mendocino County (August Complex), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Shasta County (Zogg Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Santa Rosa (Glass Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Arcata (Red Salmon Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Visalia (SQF Complex), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 75 km ENE of Bacolod, Philippines

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Marie

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - S of Monte Quemado, Santiago del Estero - Argentina

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Detroit, MI Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Villa Carlos Paz, Crdoba - Argentina

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bangladesh

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Scotland, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern England, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Ibanda, Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Pakistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Scottsdale (Sears Fire), Arizona - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Springfield (Holiday Farm Fire), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (Fox Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Pasadena (Bobcat Fire),, California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Salem (Beachie Creek Lions Head Complex), Oregon - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 103 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - E of Roseburg (Archie Creek Fire), Oregon - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Nunukan Regency, North Kalimantan, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Flood - Smithfield, NC Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 34 km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - Douglas County (Thielsen Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Clackamas County (Riverside Fire), Oregon, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 93 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Port Arthur, TX Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wauchula, FL Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mullins, SC Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kachin, Myanmar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ashanti, Ghana

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Chad

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - White Nile, South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Storms - Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northern Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    6 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    2 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 16, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Post-Tropical Cyclone 16E (Karina)…is located about 960 miles west of the southern tip of Baja California – Last Advisory
Tropical Cyclone 13W (Noul)…is located approximately 363 NM east-southeast of Da Nang, Vietnam

 

Northeast Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP16/refresh/EP162020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/023925_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/EPAC/16E.KARINA/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20200916.2330.goes17.x.vis1km_high.16EKARINA.30kts-1006mb-228N-1242W.100pc.jpg

Post-Tropical Cyclone 16E (Karina) – Last Advisory

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the NHC Advisory 17…The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A westward motion is expected on Thursday and Friday, with little change in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated, and the remnant low will likely dissipate in a couple of days.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Central Pacific

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_2d0.png

Invest 93C

An area of low pressure located around 550 miles south of Hilo, Hawaii, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions will remain somewhat conducive for development during the next day or so as the system moves northwestward at around 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1320.gif

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/jma/wpac/vis-l.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/13W.NOUL/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200916.1810.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.13WNOUL.45kts-992mb-146N-1144E.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 13W (Noul)

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, the storm is moving through an environment that is marginally favorable for further development, with very warm sea surface temperatures and sufficient equatorward and westward outflow aloft, offset by moderate to high 15-25 knot wind shear.

Upper level convergence due to the deep easterly flow aloft also continues to stifle poleward outflow and limit intensification…despite the conducive sea surface temperatures.

TS Noul will continue to track generally west-northwest, as it transverses over the very warm waters of the South China Sea, and will continue to intensify despite continued moderate to high wind shear, as a result of the warm sea surface…reaching a maximum intensity of 65 knots by 36 hours.

Shortly after 36 hours the system will make landfall near Hue, Vietnam. After landfall the system will begin to weaken due to interaction with the underlying terrain. As Noul moves deeper into the Indochina Peninsula and into Laos, it will begin to dissipate over land and weaken to 45 knots by 48 hours…with dissipation by 72 hours.

 

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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