Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Tropical Cyclone - Three

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Subtropical Storm - Teresa

    17 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Hurricane - Sam

    20 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 53 km NE of Anse-Bertrand, Guadeloupe

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Typhoon - Mindulle

    34 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 182 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    20 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - south of Africa

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 203 km N of Shi Yomi, India

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Novarupta, United States

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Tampa--St. Petersburg, FL Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Bridgeport--Stamford, CT--NY Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Tulare, California - United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Redding (Fawn Fire), California - United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (McCash Fire), California, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Trinity County (Monument Fire), California, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brazil

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Bolivia

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Broome, Western Australia - Australia

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Burketown, Queensland - Australia

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Xique-Xique, Bahia - Brazil

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 141 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Nicobar Islands, India region

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 184 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 95 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 6.3

    20 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 142 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Storms - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Luwu Regency, South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Central Lombok Regency, West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bolaang Mongondow Regency, North Sulawesi,Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Mindanao Island, Philippines

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Bone Bolango, Gorontalo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 38 km S of Mount Buller, Australia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Odisha, India

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 days ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 9, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 15E (Olaf)…located about 20 miles east-northeast of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Tropical Cyclone 18W (Conson)…is located approximately 248 NM east of Da Nang, Vietnam
Tropical Cyclone 19W (Chanthu)…is located approximately 116 NM southeast of Aparri, Philippines

 


Northeast Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 15E (Olaf)

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

20210909.142032.EP152021.abi.goes-17.Infrared-Gray.60kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

EYE OF OLAF ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL AT SAN JOSE DEL CABO MEXICO…HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR

According to the NHC Advisory 10…Olaf is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A slight turn toward the northwest is expected tonight, and Olaf is forecast to continue moving toward the northwest on Friday. A turn toward the west is expected over the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Olaf will move near or over the southern coast of the Baja California peninsula during the next few hours, and then move very near or over southern Baja California Sur tonight and on Friday. The hurricane will begin to move westward away from land late Friday or early Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is possible before the hurricane reaches the coast tonight. Weakening is expected on Friday after Olaf begins to interact with land. Further weakening is likely over the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km).

>>> An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the southern coast of Mexico over the weekend. Subsequent gradual development of this system will be possible, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent

Central north Pacific

No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days

Northwest Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 18W (Conson)

Sustained 45 knot winds…with gusts to 55 knots (as of Warning Number 17)

Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone Conson

According to the JTWC…satellite imagery shows a disorganized system that has improved slightly in structure over the past six hours.

The system is currently tracking westward in a marginally favorable environment with moderate wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures, and weak radial outflow aloft.

Tropical storm 18W is currently tracking westward under the influence of the subtropical ridge to the northeast. Around 48 hours, it will turn more west-northwestward as a mid latitude trough begins to deepen to the north, creating a weak steering environment.

The system is expected to make landfall over northern Vietnam roughly 100 NM south of Hanoi. The marginally favorable environment will allow slight intensification to a peak of
70 knots around 48 hours. Afterward, increasing wind shear and land interaction with the coast of Vietnam will weaken the system to 30 knots just before landfall at about 96 hours.

 

Tropical Cyclone 19W (Chanthu)

Sustained 130 knot winds…with gusts to 160 knots (as of Warning Number 16)

Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 19W

According to the JTWC…satellite imagery depicts a compact system with an eye-like feature that has weakened slightly over the past six hours.

Typhoon 19W is beginning a more northwestward track as it begins to round the western edge of the subtropical ridge. After 48 hours, the system will cross Taiwan as it tracks northward and eventually crests the subtropical ridge axis.After 96 hours, the system will turn north-northeastward on the poleward side of the subtropical ridge.

TY 19W will remain in a favorable environment for the early part of the forecast, sustaining it above 100 knots until about 48 hours, at which point land interaction with Taiwan will begin to weaken it. The system will weaken to 85 knots as it exits into the Taiwan strait around 72 hours. Afterwards, increasing wind shear and decreasing sea surface temperatures will further weaken the system to 70 knots by 120 hours.

 

>>> There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 96W, which is located approximately 623 NM south-southeast of Kadena AB

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts flaring convection over an ill-defined low level circulation…in addition to a pocket of deep convection displaced to the south of the center, and an overall lack of convective organization.

Invest 96W is in a marginal environment characterized by warm sea surface temperatures offset by moderate (15-25 knot) wind shear, and weak outflow aloft.

Global models generally agree that invest 96W will dissipate as it interacts with STY 19W, with the exception of GFS, which depicts 96W tracking poleward of STY 19W and consolidating.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Connect with us