Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Typhoon - Mindulle

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Subtropical Storm - Teresa

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Hurricane - Sam

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 53 km NE of Anse-Bertrand, Guadeloupe

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Three

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 182 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    21 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - south of Africa

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 203 km N of Shi Yomi, India

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Novarupta, United States

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Tampa--St. Petersburg, FL Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Bridgeport--Stamford, CT--NY Region, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Tulare, California - United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Redding (Fawn Fire), California - United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (McCash Fire), California, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Trinity County (Monument Fire), California, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brazil

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Bolivia

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Broome, Western Australia - Australia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Burketown, Queensland - Australia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 141 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Nicobar Islands, India region

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 184 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 95 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 6.3

    22 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 142 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Storms - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Luwu Regency, South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Central Lombok Regency, West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bolaang Mongondow Regency, North Sulawesi,Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Mindanao Island, Philippines

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Bone Bolango, Gorontalo, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 38 km S of Mount Buller, Australia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Odisha, India

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 days ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 6, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 18W (Conson)…is located approximately 252 NM southeast of Manila, Philippines
Tropical Cyclone 19W (Chanthu)…is located approximately 818 NM southeast of Kadena AB


Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

Here’s what the computer models are showing for what’s being referred to as Invest 96E

Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with an broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the coast of Mexico. However, outer rainbands will produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco for the next day or so.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

>>> A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Development, if any, of this system is likely to be slow over the next couple of days while it drifts northward.

By late this week, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development.t.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent

Central north Pacific

No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days

Northwest Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 18W (Conson)

Sustained 55 knot winds…with gusts to 70 knots (as of Warning Number 5)

Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone Conson

According to the JTWC…depicts the deep convection over the southeast quadrant of the circulation expanding to the entire eastern semicircle as the system makes landfall over Samar.

TS 18W is forecast to continue northwestward on its current track, tracking over Samar and the southeast portion Luzon, eventually crossing 24 NM north of Manila sometime after 48 hours. The system then will reemerge over water, heading west-northwestward towards Hainan Island for the remainder of the
forecast.

Despite the current favorable environment, TS 18W is only expected to reach an intensity of 65 knots by 12 hours due to landinteraction. The system will continue to weaken over the Philippines until crossing into the South China Sea around 72 hours at 40 knots. At this point, warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear will allow TS 18W to reach an intensity of 80 knots by 120 hours.

 

Tropical Cyclone 19W (Chanthu)

Sustained 50 knot winds…with gusts to 65 knots (as of Warning Number 4)

Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 19W

According to the JTWC…satellite imagery shows a system that is slowly consolidating with sustained deep convection over the center.

TD 19W is forecast to track generally northwestward along the periphery of the subtropical ridge, turning west-northwestward around 24 hours. The system will continue this track until 72 hours, at which point it will turn northwestward again, as it tracks around the subtropical ridge.

The system is currently in a marginally favorable environment with warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear, offset by an upper-level low to the northwest, which seems to be inhibiting outflow. this marginally favorable environment is expected to persist for the majority of the forecast, allowing steady intensification to 95 knots by 120 hours.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Connect with us