Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - W of Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Canary Islands - Spain

    13 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 19 km ENE of Hualien City, Taiwan

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Rick

    18 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of San Carlos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    38 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Trinidad, El Beni - Bolivia

    39 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    49 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Pittsburg, KS Region, United States

    54 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    51 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 28 km SSW of Valparaíso, Chile

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Spassk Dalniy, Primorye - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Fujin, Heilongjiang - China

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Yichun, Heilongjiang - China

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Alice Springs, Northern Territory - Australia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Halls Creek, Western Australia - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Newcastle Waters, Northern Territory - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Halls Creek, Western Australia - Australia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Astoria, OR Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Yasur, Vanuatu

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Sandwich Islands region

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Rat Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 25 km NE of Ak-Dovurak, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - South Sandwich Islands region

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 126 km S of Hihifo, Tonga

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Guatemala

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 62 km E of Waitara, New Zealand

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Stroms - Semarang Regency, Central Java, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Australia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola - North Kivu Province, DRC

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Floods - Davao Oriental Province, Philippines

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nepal

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uttarakhand, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Manam, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hanoi, Vietnam

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Honduras and Nicaragua

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Agen, Aquitaine - France

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kerala, India

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Quang Binh Province, Vietnam

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 27, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 20W (Mindulle)…is located approximately 362 NM southwest of Iwo To, Japan

 

 

North Eastern Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

A tropical wave is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of the week while the system moves slowly northwestward or northward well offshore of the coast of mainland Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent

North Central Pacific

North western Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 20W (Mindulle)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/20W_280000sair.jpg

Sustained 95 knot winds…with gusts to 115 knots (as of Warning Number 23)

Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 20W

According to the JTWC…TY 20W has completed or nearly completed an eyewall replacement cycle, with a microwave image confirming the dissipation of the inner eyewall and the development of a much larger, but fragmented eyewall about 75 NM from the center.

Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery depicts deep convection developing in the western portion of the outer eyewall, and the eyewall diameter beginning to constrict once more.

The presence of deep convection in the eyewall for the first time in about 36 hours likely means that the system is moving out of the cold pool of upwelled water and into more favorable oceanographic conditions.

Environmental conditions are improving now that the system is moving away from the cold pool. While sea surface temperatures values on the road ahead are nothing to write home about, they are favorable, especially for a system that is moving steadily down track. Otherwise the environment remains favorable for development.

Now that the ridge to the north is retreating, the building ridge centered near Guam is quickly establishing dominance over the steering of TY 20W. in response, TY 20W is slowly but steadily starting to track towards the northwest. Over the next 48 hours the track will slowly turn to the north as the ridge takes on a more north-south axis and moves north along with the system. After 48 hours, TY Mindulle will accelerate to the northeast ahead of an approaching mid-latitude trough moving in from the west.

TY 20W has bottomed out from an intensity perspective, and now that its moving away from the upwelling induced cold pool, will have enough of an
energy source that, when combined with low shear and strong
outflow, will fuel a period of intensification through 48 hours.

Thereafter, shear and dry air in the mid-levels will lead to slow weakening through 72 hours. Shear dramatically increases after 72 hours, and combined with cooler waters, will lead to more rapid weakening through the remainder of the forecast.

The system is expected to begin extratropical transition (ett) around 84 hours and should be complete ett as a storm force low pressure area no later than 120 hours.

 

>>> There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 91W…located approximately 677 NM northeast of Guam

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Connect with us