CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 20W (Mindulle)…is located approximately 955 NM south of Yokosuka, Japan
Tropical Cyclone 03B (Gulab)…is located approximately 377 NM southwest of Kolkata, India – Final Warning
North Eastern Pacific
North Central Pacific
North western Pacific
Tropical Cyclone 20W (Mindulle)
Sustained 110 knot winds…with gusts to 135 knots (as of Warning Number 19)
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 20W
According to the JTWC…a significantly degraded appearance, with an increasingly ragged 20-NM eye, cooling eye temperatures and a vast reduction in the warming convective core. The system is also exhibiting some degradation of the eyewall on the northwest side, with only a very thin band of deep convection remaining.
While the environment remains favorable overall, the system has become quasi-stationary, and is experiencing the effects of significant upwelling. Additionally, outflow while robust to the northeast and south, is somewhat limited to the northwest as it butts up against some strong northerly flow near the 130E line.
The combined effects of the upwelling, and the impingement of the outflow to the northwest is leading to a period of rapid weakening.
North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea
Tropical Cyclone 03B (Gulab) – Final Warning
Sustained 30 knot winds…with gusts to 40 knots (as of Warning Number 11)
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 03B
According to the JTWC…the microwave data and radar imagery show a curved band of moderate to strong convection to the south of the low level circulation center, which itself remains mostly devoid of significant convection.
Tropical cyclone 03B is moving westward at about 14 knots and will make landfall near Kalingapatam, India imminently. Once ashore the system will continue moving inland a fairly rapid clip, while steadily weakening, before dissipating no later than 36 hours.
Notably, global and mesoscale models including GFS, ECMWF, and HWRF continue to show the energy associated with the remnants of TC 03B crossing India and emerging into the north Arabian Sea near 72 hours, then re-intensifying.
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