Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - W of Newcastle Waters, Northern Territory - Australia

    3 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Halls Creek, Western Australia - Australia

    3 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    20 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Canary Islands - Spain

    30 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 19 km ENE of Hualien City, Taiwan

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Hurricane - Rick

    35 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    54 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of San Carlos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    55 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Trinidad, El Beni - Bolivia

    55 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Pittsburg, KS Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 28 km SSW of Valparaíso, Chile

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Spassk Dalniy, Primorye - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Fujin, Heilongjiang - China

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Yichun, Heilongjiang - China

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Alice Springs, Northern Territory - Australia

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Halls Creek, Western Australia - Australia

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Astoria, OR Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Yasur, Vanuatu

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Sandwich Islands region

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Rat Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 25 km NE of Ak-Dovurak, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - South Sandwich Islands region

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 126 km S of Hihifo, Tonga

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Guatemala

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 62 km E of Waitara, New Zealand

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Stroms - Semarang Regency, Central Java, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Australia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola - North Kivu Province, DRC

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Floods - Davao Oriental Province, Philippines

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nepal

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uttarakhand, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Manam, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hanoi, Vietnam

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Honduras and Nicaragua

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Agen, Aquitaine - France

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kerala, India

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Quang Binh Province, Vietnam

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
September 16, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 19W (Chanthu)…is located approximately 159 NM west-southwest of Sasebo, Japan

 


Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/TPW/GEOCOLOR/GOES17-TPW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

Central north Pacific

No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days

 

Northwest Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 19W (Chanthu)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/19W_161800sair.jpg

Sustained 50 knot winds…with gusts to 65 knots (as of Warning Number 43)

Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 19W (Chanthu)

According to the JTWC…TS 19W continues to slowly accelerate to the northeast while slowly weakening. Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery depicts broad spiral bands of low-level clouds wrapping into a low level circulation center, obscured by a recent burst of moderate convection.

The environment, while currently marginally favorable, is becoming increasingly marginal due to the continued presence of dry air impinging convective development and increasing shear offsetting warm sea surface temperatures and robust poleward outflow.

TS 19W is now firmly established on a northeast track, and is forecast to continue to accelerate northeastward, turning more eastward through the duration of the forecast. The forecast calls for a landfall along the northwest tip of Kyushu, followed by a track through the Inland Sea and crossing just south of Tokyo before continuing into the western North Pacific.

The window of opportunity for the system  to take advantage of the marginally favorable conditions is getting shorter every hour, and the forecast now calls for a steady 50 knot intensity through landfall. However, the system still has a few  hours where the relatively low wind shear could be offset by the robust poleward outflow, and as this coincides with the local diurnal convective maximum, could allow for a brief excursion to 55 knots.

By 12 hours though, the system will start to feel the full effects of increasing shear and begin to weaken prior to landfall. Once ashore the system will steadily weaken under the combined effects of dramatically increased shear and terrain interaction.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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