CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93W, which is located approximately 381 NM north-northwest of Wake Island
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, the system is currently classified as a subtropical depression, generally characterized as having both tropical and mid-latitude
Satellite imagery reveals low level cloud lines wrapping into a well-defined and partially exposed low level circulation center.
Upper level analysis indicates an overall marginal environment for development characterized by moderate to high (20-25 kt) easterly wind
shear, and moderate outflow aloft. Invest 93W is tracking over warm sea surface temperatures, contributing to development.
Global models are in general agreement that invest 93W will undergo slow consolidation and intensification before recurving poleward.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-30 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium.
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