Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    13 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Atlanta, GA Region, United States

    17 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    32 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Dalton, GA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Yuba City, California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Blue Ridge Fire), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Silverado Fire), California, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Grand County (East Troublesome Fire), Colorado, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Washington, DC--VA--MD Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Atsani

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Piggott, AR Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Cassville, MO Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Zeta

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mobile, AL Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Fort Leonard Wood, MO Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Antananarivo - Madagascar

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Ambatondrazaka, Toamasina - Madagascar

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Chattanooga, TN--GA Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Typhoon - Goni

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Fort Smith, AR--OK Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Newport, TN Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Shetland Islands

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - South Shetland Islands

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 35 km W of Rauco, Chile

    14 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - Easter Island region

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - South Shetland Islands

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Pacific-Antarctic Ridge

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Northern Argentina

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Karnataka, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Greece

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Java Province, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mozambique

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 63 km N of La Serena, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 56 km WSW of Changuillo, Peru

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 65 km SSW of Sola, Vanuatu

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 123 km NNE of Atka, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southwestern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cambodia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Laos

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Sumatra Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - North Cotabato, Philippines

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Guimbal, Philippines

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bagerhat, Bangladesh

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Jamaica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Monkeypox - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 weeks ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
October 7, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 19E (Norbert)…is located about 430 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico
Tropical Cyclone 16W (Chan-Hom)…is located about 281 miles east of Kadena AB, Okinawa

 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_pac_2d0.png

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP19/refresh/EP192020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/205458_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/EPAC/19E.NORBERT/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201007.1330.goes17.x.ir1km_bw.19ENORBERT.35kts-1005mb-142N-1071W.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 19E (Norbert)

NORBERT NEARLY STATIONARY WELL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO

What the computer models are showing 

According to the NHC advisory 9…Norbert is nearly stationary and the storm is expected to move little over the next day or so. A drift to the west to west-northwest is expected by late this week. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.


>>> 
Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually become better organized in association with an elongated area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Further development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form during the next few days while it moves slowly northwestward at about 5 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent

 

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

 

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1620.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/16W.CHAN-HOM/vis/ols/1km/20201007.0616.f16.x.vis1km.16WCHAN-HOM.70kts-970mb-266N-1335E.097pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 16W (Chan-Hom)

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, environmental conditions remain favorable with enhanced poleward outflow, good equatorward outflow, low 5-10 knot wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures.

TS 16W is forecast to track northwestward to northward through the next 48 hours. TY 16W is forecast to intensify to a peak intensity of 80 knots by 24 hours, under favorable conditions.

After 72 hours, the system will accelerate east-northeastward along the southern coast of Japan. Due to the high >35 knot wind shear, TY 16W is expected to weaken steadily for the remainder of the forecast period, to an intensity of 50 knots by 96 hours.

 

South Pacific

North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

Arabian Sea

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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