Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    35 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    52 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    59 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Telica, Nicaragua

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Lewotolo, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Port Douglas, Queensland - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cilacap, Central Java, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Irvine (Bond Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bojonegoro, East Java, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Garut Town, West Java, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Samarinda, East Kalimantan, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Prabumulih, South Sumatra, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - South Korea

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southern Switzerland

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southern Switzerland

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Olmue Commune (La Bodeguilla Fire), Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Maria Pinto and Melipilla Communes (Mallarauco Fire), Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Mid-Indian Ridge

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern Sri Lanka

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Queensland (Fraser Island Fire), Australia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - San Diego County (Willow Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Riverside (Cerritos Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northwest Territories, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Haines, Alaska

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Paraguay

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - La Paz, Bolivia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Vietnam

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Thailand

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Philippines

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Burevi

    7 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    19 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 45 km NNW of San Antonio de los Cobres, Argentina

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Richmond, VA Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cameroon

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Iraq

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Austria

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southeastern France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Greece

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - central East Pacific Rise

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Croatia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Honduras

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tarija, Bolivia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tebing Tinggi, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
October 25, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 19W (Saudel)…is located approximately 117 NM north-northwest of Da Nang, Vietnam – Final Warning
Tropical Cyclone 21W (Molave)…is located approximately 94 NM south-southwest of Manila, Philippines

 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

 

Western North Pacific

 

Tropical Cyclone 19W (Saudel) Final Warning

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1920.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/19W.SAUDEL/vis/ols/1km/20201025.0849.f16.x.vis1km.19WSAUDEL.35kts-1005mb-175N-1079E.100pc.jpg

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, environmental analysis shows moderate to high 20-30 knot wind shear, fair westward outflow, and marginal sea surface temperatures.

TD 19W will continue to move westward then west-southwestward through the forecast period, steadily weakening as the storm approaches the coast of Vietnam.

After landfall prior to 12 hours, the system will continue to weaken as it moves inland, tracking across mountainous terrain. Dissipation is expected by 24 hours.

 

Tropical Cyclone 21W (Molave)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2120.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/21W.MOLAVE/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201025.0440.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.21WMOLAVE.65kts-988mb-135N-1229E.100pc.jpg

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, environmental analysis reveals and overall favorable environment, characterized by robust equatorward outflow, low to moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures.

In the near term, TY 21W is expected to maintain intensity as it tracks westward over the inner seas south of Luzon. After the system re-emerges over the South China Sea in near 12 hours, the typhoon will begin to re-intensify due to persistent favorable conditions, reaching a peak intensity of 85 knots by 48 hours.

The system will then gradually weaken as it tracks west-northwestwards towards the coast. Following landfall after 60 hours, the storm will begin to weaken more rapidly as it moves over central Vietnam.

In the extended range, TY 21W will weaken rapidly as it tracks westward over the physical terrain, with dissipation over land expected by 120 hours.

 

 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/99W.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201025.0440.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.99WINVEST.15kts-1010mb-84N-1436E.100pc.jpg

There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 99W, which is located approximately 146 NM southwest of Guam

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, Invest 99W is currently in a favorable environment with moderate eastward upper level outflow, being supported by low 10-20 knot wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are split, with some tracking 99W generally northwestward with little to no intensification. However, others show more significant intensification after several days.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

 

 

North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

Arabian Sea

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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