Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - N of Yuba City, California - United States

    4 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Blue Ridge Fire), California, United States

    4 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Silverado Fire), California, United States

    4 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Grand County (East Troublesome Fire), Colorado, United States

    5 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    5 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    5 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    5 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    5 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    15 minutes ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Vietnam

    37 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Java Province, Indonesia

    22 minutes ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Quang Nam Province, Vietnam

    25 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern England, United Kingdom

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    31 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    33 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    39 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    39 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Java Province, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cambodia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lexington Park--California--Chesapeake Ranch Estates, MD Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Atlanta, GA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Dalton, GA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Atsani

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Piggott, AR Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Cassville, MO Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Zeta

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mobile, AL Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Fort Leonard Wood, MO Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Antananarivo - Madagascar

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Ambatondrazaka, Toamasina - Madagascar

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Chattanooga, TN--GA Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Typhoon - Goni

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Newport, TN Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Shetland Islands

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - South Shetland Islands

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 35 km W of Rauco, Chile

    15 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - Easter Island region

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - South Shetland Islands

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Pacific-Antarctic Ridge

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Karnataka, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mozambique

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 63 km N of La Serena, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 56 km WSW of Changuillo, Peru

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 65 km SSW of Sola, Vanuatu

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 123 km NNE of Atka, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southwestern Ethiopia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Laos

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Sumatra Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - North Cotabato, Philippines

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Guimbal, Philippines

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bagerhat, Bangladesh

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Jamaica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Monkeypox - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 weeks ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
October 16, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at this time

 

Northeast Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_pac_5d0.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

 

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

 

Western North Pacific

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/95W.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201016.1740.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.95WINVEST.15kts-1004mb-148N-1095E.100pc.jpg

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 95W, which is located approximately 237 NM southeast of Da Nang, Vietnam

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the system is currently in a marginal environment with moderate 20-25 knot wind shear, offsetting good westward upper level outflow…and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in good agreement that Invest 95W will continue to track generally northwestward with minimal intensification…before moving Vietnam.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/96W.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201016.1740.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.96WINVEST.15kts-1004mb-58N-1447E.100pc.jpg

>>> There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 96W, which is located approximately 463 NM east-southeast of Palau.

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the system is currently in favorable environment with good westward upper level outflow, and low 5-10 knot wind shear…and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in good agreement that Invest 96W will continue to track northwestward with minimal intensification over the next few days, before beginning to consolidate as it near Luzon…potentially reaching the warning threshold.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is is low.

 

North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

Arabian Sea

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/IO/92A.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201016.1730.msg1.x.ir1km_bw.92AINVEST.25kts-1001mb-170N-685E.100pc.jpg

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 92A, which is located approximately 140 NM southwest of Mumbai.

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, upper level analysis indicates unfavorable 15-20 knot wind shear, partly offset by good divergence aloft.

Global models are in good agreement that 92A will slightly intensify as it tracks towards the Arabian Peninsula.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium.

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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