Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Landslides - Quang Nam Province, Vietnam

    10 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern England, United Kingdom

    12 minutes ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    17 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Blue Ridge Fire), California, United States

    18 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    18 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Vietnam

    23 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    24 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    25 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Java Province, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cambodia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lexington Park--California--Chesapeake Ranch Estates, MD Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    56 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - Washington, DC--VA--MD Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Atlanta, GA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Dalton, GA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Yuba City, California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Orange County (Silverado Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Grand County (East Troublesome Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Carbon County (Mullen Fire), Wyoming, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Crescent City (Slater and Devil Fires), California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Larimer County (Cameron Peak Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Fresno (Creek Fire), California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Depression - Atsani

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Piggott, AR Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Cassville, MO Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    3 months ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Zeta

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mobile, AL Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Fort Leonard Wood, MO Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Antananarivo - Madagascar

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Ambatondrazaka, Toamasina - Madagascar

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Chattanooga, TN--GA Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Typhoon - Goni

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Newport, TN Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Shetland Islands

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - South Shetland Islands

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 35 km W of Rauco, Chile

    15 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    20 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - Easter Island region

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - South Shetland Islands

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Pacific-Antarctic Ridge

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Karnataka, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northwestern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Mozambique

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 63 km N of La Serena, Chile

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 56 km WSW of Changuillo, Peru

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 65 km SSW of Sola, Vanuatu

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 123 km NNE of Atka, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southwestern Ethiopia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southeastern Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Laos

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - West Sumatra Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Kalimantan Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - North Cotabato, Philippines

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Guimbal, Philippines

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bagerhat, Bangladesh

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Jamaica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Monkeypox - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    3 weeks ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
October 13, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 19E (Norbert)…is located about 220 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Cyclone 18W (Nangka)…is located about 78 NM southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam

 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP19/refresh/EP192020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/203916_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/13/1800x1080.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 19E (Norbert)

NORBERT STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING ON WEDNESDAY

What the computer models are showing 

According to the NHC Advisory 21…Norbert is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A continued northwestward motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through Wednesday. A turn to the north is forecast to occur on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tonight. Norbert is forecast to begin weakening on Wednesday and should dissipate by Thursday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.

 

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

 

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 18W (Nangka)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1820.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/18W.NANGKA/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201013.1550.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.18WNANGKA.45kts-992mb-198N-1089E.100pc.jpg

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, environmental analysis indicates the system lies in a generally favorable environment, with low 10-15 knot wind shear, and good divergent westward outflow.

The system has made landfall along the east coast of Hainan Island. A close to due west track through 12-24 hours, as the storm reemerges over the south Gulf of Tonkin by 12 hours.

A close to due westward track thereafter through landfall along the Vietnamese coast in around 30 hours. Once the system moves over water, another round of intensification will occur…as it moves over very warm water with low wind shear, peaking at 55 knots.

After landfall over northern VN, the storm will rapidly weaken over the mountainous terrain of VN and will dissipate over northern Laos within 72 hours.

 

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 94W, which is located approximately 458 NM northwest of Palau.

According to the JTWC, the system is in a favorable environment for development with low <15 knot wind shear, good poleward and equatorward aloft, and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in agreement that Invest 94W will continue to track northwestward, and making landfall in the central Philippines…before consolidating further in the South China Sea.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

North Indian Ocean

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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