Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Hurricane - Rick

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Alice Springs, Northern Territory - Australia

    9 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Halls Creek, Western Australia - Australia

    10 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Newcastle Waters, Northern Territory - Australia

    10 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Halls Creek, Western Australia - Australia

    11 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Canary Islands - Spain

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 19 km ENE of Hualien City, Taiwan

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of San Carlos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Trinidad, El Beni - Bolivia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Pittsburg, KS Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 28 km SSW of Valparaíso, Chile

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Spassk Dalniy, Primorye - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Fujin, Heilongjiang - China

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Yichun, Heilongjiang - China

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Astoria, OR Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Yasur, Vanuatu

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Sandwich Islands region

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Rat Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 25 km NE of Ak-Dovurak, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - South Sandwich Islands region

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 126 km S of Hihifo, Tonga

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Guatemala

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 62 km E of Waitara, New Zealand

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Stroms - Semarang Regency, Central Java, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Australia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola - North Kivu Province, DRC

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Floods - Davao Oriental Province, Philippines

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nepal

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uttarakhand, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Manam, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hanoi, Vietnam

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Honduras and Nicaragua

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Agen, Aquitaine - France

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kerala, India

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Quang Binh Province, Vietnam

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
October 6, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

 

 

North Eastern Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

An area of low pressure is forecast to form off the coast of Central America and southern Mexico in a day or two.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent

North Central Pacific

North Western Pacific

20211006.140000.WP922021.ahi.himawari-8.Infrared-Gray.20kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 92W…located approximately 271 NM east of Hue, Vietnam

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts broad, disorganized convection over an obscured, broad, and elongated low level circulation.

Environmental analysis depicts marginally favorable conditions for development with strong equatorward outflow and very warm sea surface temperatures, offset by moderate (15-20 knot) wind shear.

invest 92W has the characteristics of a monsoon depression, not only with the convective signature but with the surface wind field.

Global models are in overall agreement that 92W will continue to track generally northwestward with increasing spread to over 300 NM in just two days. GFS is the extreme outlier…looping the vortex back counterclockwise.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18-23 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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