CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
North Eastern Pacific
An area of low pressure could form south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week.
Gradual development of the system will be possible this weekend while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining offshore the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent
North Central Pacific
North Western Pacific
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 92W…located approximately 129 NM north of Puerto Princesa, Palawan
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts broad, disorganized convection over an obscured low level circulation, with formative fragmented rain bands loosely wrapping in from the south.
Environmental analysis depicts marginally favorable conditions for development with strong equatorward outflow and warm sea surface temperatures offset by moderate (15-20 knot) wind shear.
Global models are in general agreement that invest 92W will strengthen as it tracks northwestward.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18-23 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high.
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