CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
North Eastern Pacific
North Central Pacific
North Western Pacific
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 92W…located approximately 160 NM east of Puerto Princesa, Philippines
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, the broad area of troughing associated with invest 92W has tracked over the Philippine Islands, lowering the probability of immediate formation.
However, model guidance indicates invest 92W will track west-northwest into the South China Sea.
Models vary regarding intensity, with the GFS deterministic being the most aggressive, indicating invest 92W will strengthen near warning criteria.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 17-22 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high.
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