CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Remnants of Tropical Cyclone 16E (Pamela)…is located about 110 miles west of Larado, Texas – Last Advisory
Tropical Cyclone 23W (Namtheun)…is located approximately 53 NM southeast of Minami Tori Shima, Japan
Tropical Cyclone 24W (Kompasu)…is located approximately 144 NM southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam
North Eastern Pacific
Tropical Cyclone 16E (Pamela)
PAMELA DISSIPATES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO…HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE REMNANTS OF PAMELA SPREADING OVER TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
According to the NHC advisory 16…The remnants are moving toward the northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected tonight and Thursday.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: The remnants are Pamela are expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across portions of central Texas and southeastern Oklahoma through Thursday. This may result in considerable flash and urban flooding impacts.
North Central Pacific
North Western Pacific
Tropical Cyclone 23W (Namtheun)
Sustained 30 knot winds…with gusts to 40 knots (as of Warning Number 17)
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 23W
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery depicts a partially-exposed, broad low-level circulation positioned southwest of a circular area of intense deep convection, which is obscuring the center. A microwave image indicates a weakly defined circulation with disorganized deep convection sheared to the east.
TD 23W remains situated under vigorous upper-level southerly flow with strong diffluence fueling persistent deep convection over the eastern semicircle.
TD 23W is expected to track north-northeastward through the forecast period under the steering influence of the ridge to the southeast. Slight intensification is anticipated by 12 hours, then a steady weakening trend through the remainder of the forecast…as conditions gradually degrade.
Tropical Cyclone 24W (Kompasu)
Sustained 35 knot winds…with gusts to 45 knots (as of Warning Number 17)
Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 24W
According to the JTWC…satellite and radar imagery depicts limited convective banding over the western periphery of the system with rapidly weakening deep convection over the center. A microwave image indicates curved shallow banding just west of Hainan Island,
Environmental analysis reveals a marginally favorable environment with strong easterly wind shear, offset by moderate poleward and equatorward outflow.
TS 24W is forecast to track quickly westward under the deep-layered ridge entrenched to the north. The system will steadily weaken as it tracks toward Vietnam, with more rapid weakening after 12 hours, when the system makes landfall over Vietnam and tracks inland. TS 24W will dissipate by 48 hours.
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