Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Hurricane - Rick

    7 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Puerto Quijarro, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    27 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of San Carlos, Santa Cruz - Bolivia

    27 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Trinidad, El Beni - Bolivia

    28 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    39 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Pittsburg, KS Region, United States

    43 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    41 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 28 km SSW of Valparaíso, Chile

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Lake Charles, LA Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Spassk Dalniy, Primorye - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Fujin, Heilongjiang - China

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Yichun, Heilongjiang - China

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Alice Springs, Northern Territory - Australia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Halls Creek, Western Australia - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Newcastle Waters, Northern Territory - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Halls Creek, Western Australia - Australia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Canary Islands - Spain

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Astoria, OR Region, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Yasur, Vanuatu

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Sandwich Islands region

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 19 km ENE of Hualien City, Taiwan

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Rat Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 25 km NE of Ak-Dovurak, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - South Sandwich Islands region

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 126 km S of Hihifo, Tonga

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Storms - Guatemala

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 62 km E of Waitara, New Zealand

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Stroms - Semarang Regency, Central Java, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Australia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Sri Lanka

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola - North Kivu Province, DRC

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Floods - Davao Oriental Province, Philippines

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nepal

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uttarakhand, India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Manam, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hanoi, Vietnam

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Honduras and Nicaragua

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Agen, Aquitaine - France

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kerala, India

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Quang Binh Province, Vietnam

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
October 1, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 20W (Mindulle)…is located approximately 273 NM southeast of Misawa, Japan – Final Warning
Tropical Cyclone 03B (Shaheen-gulab)…is located approximately 218 NM west-southwest of Karachi, Pakistan

 

 

North Eastern Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Environmental conditions are somewhat conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts westward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent

>>> A trough of low pressure is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Development of this system is no longer anticipated due to unfavorable environmental conditions as it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent

North Central Pacific

North western Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 20W (Mindulle) – Final Warning

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/20W_011800sair.jpg

Sustained 55 knot winds…with gusts to 70 knots (as of Warning Number 38)

Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 20W

According to the JTWC…satellite imagery depicts the system continued to gradually decay as evidenced by unraveling rain bands and warming central convection. The northern peripheries have elongated with exposure to the strong prevailing westerlies.

Analysis indicates the environment is unfavorable with increasing wind shear, cooling sea surface temperatures, and the influx of cold dry air at the lower levels. The cyclone is tracking along the northwestern periphery of the ridge to the southeast.

Typhoon Mindulle will continue on its current track for the remainder of the forecast, and the unfavorable environment will continue to weaken the system. Concurrently, by 12 hours, it will begin extra-tropical transition and by 30 hours will transform into a 40-knot cold core low with an expansive wind field as it passes southeast of the Kuril Islands.

Arabian Sea

Tropical Cyclone 03B (Shaheen-gulab)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/03B_011800sair.jpg

Sustained 55 knot winds…with gusts to 70 knots (as of Warning Number 16)

Here’s what the computer models are showing for Tropical Cyclone 03B

According to the JTWC…satellite imagery depicts a consolidating system with feeder bands, mostly from the southern periphery, wrapping tighter into an obscured low level circulation under deep central convection with a formative eye.

Analysis indicates a favorable environment with low wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures, and a medium equatorward outflow. The cyclone is tracking along the southern periphery of the ridge to the north.

TC Gulab will continue on its current tracktoward the Gulf of Oman up to 48 hours, under the steering influence of the ridge. Afterward, as the ridge builds, it will drive the cyclone southwestward into Oman, making landfall just north of Muscat around 54 hours.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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