Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Telica, Nicaragua

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Lewotolo, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Port Douglas, Queensland - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cilacap, Central Java, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SW of Aweil, North Bahr-al-Ghazal - South Sudan

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Irvine (Bond Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bojonegoro, East Java, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Garut Town, West Java, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Samarinda, East Kalimantan, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Prabumulih, South Sumatra, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - South Korea

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southern Switzerland

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southern Switzerland

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Olmue Commune (La Bodeguilla Fire), Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Maria Pinto and Melipilla Communes (Mallarauco Fire), Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Mid-Indian Ridge

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern Sri Lanka

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Queensland (Fraser Island Fire), Australia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - San Diego County (Willow Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Riverside (Cerritos Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northwest Territories, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Haines, Alaska

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Paraguay

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - La Paz, Bolivia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Vietnam

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Thailand

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Philippines

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Burevi

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    18 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 45 km NNW of San Antonio de los Cobres, Argentina

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Richmond, VA Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 75 km WSW of Masachapa, Nicaragua

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 76 km WSW of Masachapa, Nicaragua

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Somalia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cameroon

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Iraq

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Austria

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southeastern France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Greece

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - central East Pacific Rise

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Croatia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Honduras

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tarija, Bolivia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tebing Tinggi, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
November 9, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 24W (Etau)…is located approximately 240 NM south-southeast of Da Nang, Vietnam
Tropical Cyclone 25W (Vamco)…is located approximately 444 NM east of Manila, Philippines
 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_pac_5d0.png

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

 

Tropical Cyclone 24W (Etau)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2420.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/24W.ETAU/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201109.1500.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.24WETAU.40kts-1000mb-125N-1113E.100pc.jpg

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, upper level analysis reveals a rapidly deteriorating environment, with cooling sea surface temperatures, and moderate to high 20-25 knot wind shear, offsetting the continued robust westward outflow.

TS 24W will continue tracking west-southwestward through 12 hours, and is expected to make landfall along the south-central Vietnamese coast between 12-18 hours. As the system approaches the coastline, it will encounter cooler sea surface temperatures and increasing wind shear, which will continue the decoupling of the center, resulting in a slow weakening trend prior to landfall.

After landfall, Etau will track inland and dissipate over central Cambodia by 36 hours.

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2520.gif

 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/25W.VAMCO/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201109.1500.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.25WVAMCO.30kts-1004mb-123N-1299E.100pc.jpg

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, TS 25 will move through an environment that is very favorable for intensification with warm sea surface temperatures, low 5-10 knot wind shear, and strong equatorward and moderate westward outflow.

In the near term, TS Vamco will continue to track northwestward through 12 hours, before slowly turning onto a westward track by 36 hours. The system is forecast to cross Lamon Bay and make landfall along the central Luzon coast due east of Manila in 60 hours…before re-emerging into the open waters of the South China Sea by 72 hours.

While the system has struggled to consolidate a well defined convective core, it is expected that the environment should allow for this consolidation within the next 6-12 hours, resulting in a relatively slow intensification through 12 hours.

Thereafter, a combination of radial outflow, low wind shear, and passage over very warm waters will allow for steady intensification through 24 hours. A period of rapid intensification is forecast between 24-48 hours, as the system tracks through favorable environmental conditions.

The forecast calls for a peak intensity  of 105 knots at 48 hours, with additional strengthening possible prior to landfall. As the system crosses Luzon, interaction with the rugged terrain will induce significant weakening, with the system forecast to re-emerge into the South China Sea as a minimal typhoon.

After 72 hours, the system will continue to track westward through 120 hours. Once re-emerging over the South China Sea, the system will re-intensify to a peak of 70 knots under marginally favorable environmental conditions.

 

 

North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc21/SHEM/92S.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201110.0220.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.92SINVEST.15kts-1010mb-58S-887E.100pc.jpg

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 92S, which is located approximately 1074 NM west of Jakarta

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the system is tracking through marginal environment for development with high20-25 knot wind shear, offset by robust poleward and moderate equatorward outflow aloft…along with warm sea surface temperatures.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

 

Arabian Sea

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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