Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - SW of Aweil, North Bahr-al-Ghazal - South Sudan

    45 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    48 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    55 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Telica, Nicaragua

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Lewotolo, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Port Douglas, Queensland - Australia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cilacap, Central Java, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Irvine (Bond Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bojonegoro, East Java, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Garut Town, West Java, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Samarinda, East Kalimantan, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Prabumulih, South Sumatra, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - South Korea

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southern Switzerland

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southern Switzerland

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Olmue Commune (La Bodeguilla Fire), Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Maria Pinto and Melipilla Communes (Mallarauco Fire), Chile

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Mid-Indian Ridge

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern Sri Lanka

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Queensland (Fraser Island Fire), Australia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - San Diego County (Willow Fire), California, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Riverside (Cerritos Fire), California - United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northwest Territories, Canada

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Haines, Alaska

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Paraguay

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - La Paz, Bolivia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Vietnam

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Thailand

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Philippines

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Burevi

    7 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    19 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 45 km NNW of San Antonio de los Cobres, Argentina

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Richmond, VA Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 75 km WSW of Masachapa, Nicaragua

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Somalia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cameroon

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Iraq

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Austria

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southeastern France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Greece

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - central East Pacific Rise

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Croatia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Honduras

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tarija, Bolivia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tebing Tinggi, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
November 4, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 20E (Odalys)…is located 830 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Cyclone 22W (Goni)…is located approximately 241 NM east-southeast of Da Nang, Vietnam
Tropical Cyclone 23W (Atsani)…is located approximately 366 NM south of Kadena AB
 

Northeast Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP20/refresh/EP202020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/203954_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/EPAC/20E.ODALYS/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20201104.2330.goes17.x.vis1km_high.20EODALYS.40kts-1003mb-173N-1203W.100pc.jpg

ODALYS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING OVERNIGHT…FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Tropical Cyclone 20E (Odalys)

According the NHC Advisory 6...Odalys is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue tonight.

Odalys is forecast to gradually slow down and turn westward on Thursday, and move west-southwestward by this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to begin on Thursday, and Odalys is expected to become a remnant low by early Friday and dissipate over the weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center.

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

 

Tropical Cyclone 22W (Goni)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2220.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/22W.GONI/vis/ols/1km/20201104.2309.f17.x.vis1km.22WGONI.40kts-1000mb-142N-1125E.100pc.jpg

Here’s what the computer models showing

According to the JTWC, the environment remains marginal, with moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, with and warm sea surface temperatures, although will decrease closer to the coast.

TS 22W is still tracking westward, making landfall by 36 hours along the south-central Vietnam, and will continue to track southwestward towards Cambodia.

No chance in intensity is expected through landfall, striking the coast as a weak tropical storm, before dissipating over rugged terrain.

 

Tropical Cyclone 23W (Atsani)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2320.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/23W.ATSANI/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201105.0230.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.23WATSANI.55kts-994mb-202N-1269E.100pc.jpg

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, the environment has clearly improved, with decreasing wind shear. Outflow has also improved and is now tapping into a poleward channel, allowing for a burst of convection, while the system remains over warm waters…conducive for strengthening.

TS 23W has begun its westward movement and will accelerate west-northwest through 36 hours…then shift more southwestward by 72 hours. Low wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures will support steady intensification to a peak of 70 knots by 36 hours.

Slow although steady intensification is forecast through 72 hours, under weakly favorable conditions of low 5-10 knot wind shear and moderate upper level outflow…being somewhat offset by the fact that the sea surface temperatures are not exceptionally warm, and will be decreasing as 23W moves west.

In the extended period, the storm enter the northern portion of the South China Sea by 72 hours, on a generally west-southwestward track. At the same time, the combination of increased wind shear, convergent upper level flow, entrainment of drier air from the north, and cooler sea surface temperatures…will combine to steadily weaken the system through 120 hours.
The storm is expected to make landfall along the southern Vietnamese coastline just prior to 120 hours, before tracking inland towards the southwest.

 

 

North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

Arabian Sea

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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