Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    20 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Telica, Nicaragua

    24 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    35 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Lewotolo, Indonesia

    49 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Port Douglas, Queensland - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cilacap, Central Java, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SW of Aweil, North Bahr-al-Ghazal - South Sudan

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Irvine (Bond Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bojonegoro, East Java, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Garut Town, West Java, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Samarinda, East Kalimantan, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Prabumulih, South Sumatra, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - South Korea

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southern Switzerland

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southern Switzerland

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Olmue Commune (La Bodeguilla Fire), Chile

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Maria Pinto and Melipilla Communes (Mallarauco Fire), Chile

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Mid-Indian Ridge

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern Sri Lanka

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern India

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern India

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Queensland (Fraser Island Fire), Australia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - San Diego County (Willow Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Riverside (Cerritos Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northwest Territories, Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Haines, Alaska

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Paraguay

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - La Paz, Bolivia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Vietnam

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Thailand

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Philippines

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Burevi

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    18 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 45 km NNW of San Antonio de los Cobres, Argentina

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Richmond, VA Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 75 km WSW of Masachapa, Nicaragua

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 76 km WSW of Masachapa, Nicaragua

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Somalia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cameroon

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Iraq

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Austria

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southeastern France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Greece

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - central East Pacific Rise

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Croatia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Honduras

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tarija, Bolivia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tebing Tinggi, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
November 3, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone Odalys…is located 730 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Cyclone 22W (Goni)…is located approximately 310 NM east-southeast of Da Nang, Vietnam
Tropical Cyclone 23W (Atsani)…is located approximately 398 NM south-southeast of Kadena AB
 

Northeast Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP20/refresh/EP202020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/203954_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/EPAC/20E.TWENTY/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20201103.2000.goes17.x.vis1km_high.20ETWENTY.35kts-1006mb-137N-1155W.100pc.jpg

ODALYS COULD STRENGTHEN A LITTLE OVERNIGHT

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Tropical Cyclone 20E (Odalys)

According the NHC Advisory 2…Odalys is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected during the next day or two.

A turn to the west and then the southwest is forecast by late this week. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Modest strengthening is possible overnight, but Odalys should begin weakening by late Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

Western North Pacific

 

Tropical Cyclone 22W (Goni)

Here’s what the computer models showing

According to the JTWC, environmental analysis indicates the system lies in a marginal to unfavorable region, with moderate to high 20-25 knot wind shear, moderate westward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures.

TS 22W is still tracking westward, although has slowed significantly over the past 6-hours, as the steering pattern has weakened.

Over the next 12-24 hours, the steering pattern will strengthen, allowing TS 22W to accelerate slightly and track west-southwestward through 72 hours, making landfall in south-central Vietnam around the 68 hour point.

The intensification environment is forecast to become increasingly unfavorable with moderate to high wind shear, and decreasing sea surface temperatures offsetting moderate westward outflow, leading to a slow weakening trend after 12 hours.

 

Tropical Cyclone 23W (Atsani)

Here’s what the computer models show

According to the JTWC, the environment is overall favorable, with the system cocooned in a small pocket of low 5 knots or less wind shear, radial outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures. The system is currently moving southeast as it moves in a clockwise loop in a weak steering environment.

TS 23W will slowly drift southeast, south, then southwest over the next 12-24 hours, as it completes this looping motion. After 24 hours, the storm will accelerate onto a more westward track…continuing through 72 hours…as it moves into the Luzon Strait.

Slow although steady intensification is forecast through 72 hours, under weakly favorable conditions of low 5-10 knot wind shear and moderate upper level outflow…being somewhat offset by the fact that the sea surface temperatures are not exceptionally warm, and will be decreasing as 23W moves west.

In the extended period, the storm will move west-southwestward by 96 hours. As the system exits the Luzon Strait, it will come under increasing pressure from cooler, drier northeasterly wind flow exiting the Taiwan Strait, which combined with increased wind shear, decreased upper level outflow and marginal sea surface temperatures…will steadily weaken the system through 120 hours.

 

 

North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

Arabian Sea

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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