Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Lewotolo, Indonesia

    32 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    56 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Port Douglas, Queensland - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Winter Storm - Northeastern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cilacap, Central Java, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Aweil, North Bahr-al-Ghazal - South Sudan

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Irvine (Bond Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bojonegoro, East Java, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Medan City, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Garut Town, West Java, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Samarinda, East Kalimantan, Indonesia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Prabumulih, South Sumatra, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Nunavut, Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - South Korea

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southern Switzerland

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Southern Switzerland

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Olmue Commune (La Bodeguilla Fire), Chile

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Maria Pinto and Melipilla Communes (Mallarauco Fire), Chile

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - Mid-Indian Ridge

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Northern Sri Lanka

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern India

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern India

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Queensland (Fraser Island Fire), Australia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - San Diego County (Willow Fire), California, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Riverside (Cerritos Fire), California - United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northwest Territories, Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Haines, Alaska

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Paraguay

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - La Paz, Bolivia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Vietnam

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Thailand

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Philippines

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Burevi

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Telica, Nicaragua

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    2 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    17 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 45 km NNW of San Antonio de los Cobres, Argentina

    21 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Richmond, VA Region, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Columbia, SC Region, United States

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 75 km WSW of Masachapa, Nicaragua

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 76 km WSW of Masachapa, Nicaragua

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    23 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Somalia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cameroon

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Iraq

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Western Austria

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southeastern France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Greece

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - central East Pacific Rise

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Northern Croatia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Central Asia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Honduras

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Dominican Republic

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tarija, Bolivia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tebing Tinggi, North Sumatra, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    2 days ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    4 days ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
November 21, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 03A…is located approximately 535 NM east-southeast of Aden, Yemen
 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

North Indian Ocean

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/IO/97B.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201121.2100.msg1.x.ir1km_bw.97BINVEST.20kts-1007mb-70N-873E.100pc.jpg

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 97B, which is located approximately 504 NM southeast of Chennai, India.

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, 97B is currently in a favorable environment with good upper level outflow in the northern semicircle, and warm sea surface temperatures, being slightly offset by moderate 15-20 knot wind shear.

Models are in good agreement that 97B will track northwestward, intensifying to warning threshold over the next several days.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

 

South Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

Arabian Sea

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/io0320.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/IO/03A.THREE/vapor/geo/1km/20201121.2045.msg4.x.wv1km.03ATHREE.35kts-1005mb-108N-556E.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 03A

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, with low 5-10 knot wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures, and moderate westward and equatorward outflow, the environment supports some minimal near term intensification.

TC 03A is forecast to continue tracking west-southwestward through 24 hours, before making landfall along the northeast Somali coast near Ras Hafun, before shifting to a west-northwest track after landfall..

The system is forecast to intensify slightly over the next 12 hours to a peak of 40 knots, before weakening slightly before landfall…due to increased wind shear and cooler sea surface temperatures.

After landfall, the storm is forecast to rapidly weaken over the rugged terrain of northeast Somalia, dissipating as a tropical cyclone by 48 hours.

 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/IO/96A.INVEST/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20201121.1300.msg1.x.vis1km_high.96AINVEST.25kts-1004mb-67N-571E.100pc.jpg

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 96A, which is located approximately 401 NM southeast of Socotra.

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, upper level analysis indicates a marginal environment, with moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, and good equatorward outflow…and warm sea water temperatures.

Models are in good agreement that 96A will track around 03A, eventually being absorbed entirely.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is remains medium.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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