Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 53 km NE of Anse-Bertrand, Guadeloupe

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    23 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - La Palma, Spain

    35 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Three

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Subtropical Storm - Teresa

    59 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Hurricane - Sam

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Typhoon - Mindulle

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Langila, Papua New Guinea

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 182 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    21 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - south of Africa

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Semisopochnoi, United States

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 203 km N of Shi Yomi, India

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Novarupta, United States

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - South Lyon--Howell, MI Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Tampa--St. Petersburg, FL Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Bridgeport--Stamford, CT--NY Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Tulare, California - United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Redding (Fawn Fire), California - United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Siskiyou County (McCash Fire), California, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Trinity County (Monument Fire), California, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sudan

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - South Sudan

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brazil

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Bolivia

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Broome, Western Australia - Australia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Burketown, Queensland - Australia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 141 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - Nicobar Islands, India region

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 184 km WSW of Adak, Alaska

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Tsunami (AK/BC/US West Coast) - 95 miles SE of Amchitka, Alaska - 6.3

    21 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Vietnam

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Cambodia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 142 km SW of Empaque Tarriba, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Storms - Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Luwu Regency, South Sulawesi, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Tornado - Central Lombok Regency, West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bolaang Mongondow Regency, North Sulawesi,Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southeastern Mindanao Island, Philippines

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - Bone Bolango, Gorontalo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 38 km S of Mount Buller, Australia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Odisha, India

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 days ago ADVISORY

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
November 18, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 21E (Polo)…is located 685 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/EPAC/21E.POLO/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201118.1130.goes17.x.ir1km_bw.21ETWENTY-ONE.30kts-1007mb-156N-1147W.100pc.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Polo)

POLO MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER TONIGHT

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According the NHC advisory 6…Polo is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected later tonight or on Thursday, with this motion continuing through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected to begin later tonight or on Thursday, and Polo is expected to decay to a remnant low pressure area on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center.

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

 

Western North Pacific

North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

Arabian Sea

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/IO/94A.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20201118.1830.msg1.x.ir1km_bw.94AINVEST.20kts-1007mb-88N-629E.100pc.jpg

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 94A, which is located approximately 640 NM east-southeast of Socotra.

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, Invest 94A is located in a favorable environment for development, with good westward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures…and low <15 knot wind shear.

Models are in good agreement that the system will continue a generally westward track with steady intensification.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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