Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    48 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Malanje - Angola

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Malanje - Angola

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Pine Creek, Northern Territory - Australia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Flood - Waterloo, IA Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 22 km WSW of Toyoshina, Japan

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Asosan, Japan

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Roanoke Rapids, NC Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 1957 km SW of Lajes das Flores, Portugal

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 1965 km SW of Lajes das Flores, Portugal

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 193 km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea

    6 hours ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Chicago, IL--IN Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - New London, WI Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Wilton, IA Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Flood - Pecan Acres, TX Region, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Ligonier, IN Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Dallas--Fort Worth--Arlington, TX Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Joseph, MO--KS Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Ozark, AR Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ebeko, Russia

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Miami, OK Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Natchitoches, LA Region, United States

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Hutchinson, KS Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Camden, AR Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Osceola, AR Region, United States

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Landslide - Gamo, Ethiopia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Pakistan

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northwestern Argentina

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Kenya

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Ethiopia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - India

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northeastern India

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Honduras

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - New Brunswick, Canada

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northern Vietnam

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 734 km NE of Whitianga, New Zealand

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.3 - 72 km WNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of the Congo/Uganda

    11 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - 84 km WNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Flood - Missoula, MT Region, United States

    17 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Evansville, IN--KY Region, United States

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Grand Rapids, MI Region, United States

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Huron, SD Region, United States

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Spencer, IA Region, United States

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    22 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 121 km SE of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 79 km NW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Flood - Paris, TN Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 702 km S of ‘Ohonua, Tonga

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 92 km NNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 1149 km S of Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Saint Helena

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 29 km WNW of Foxton, New Zealand

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 107 km SW of La Esperanza (El Zapotal), Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 171 km ESE of La Playa, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - 641 km NNE of Port Mathurin, Mauritius

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Bangui, Central African Republic

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern Africa

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Uganda

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Somalia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - DR Congo

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Mariana Islands

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Marshall Islands

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Yellow Fever - Nigeria

    5 months ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Measles Outbreak - Democratic Republic of the Congo

    4 months ago INFORMATION

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
May 19, 2020

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 01B (Amphan) is located approximately 25 NM south-southwest of Kolkata, India – Final Warning

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg

 

Tropical Cyclone 01B (Amphan) is an extremely dangerous storm, which is bringing flooding rainfall, high surf, high winds…and a large storm surge to a highly populated low elevation area

Sustained winds of 75 knots, with gusts to 90 knots…as of Warning 17

Radar loop of TC Amphan reaching the coast

Here’s a storm storm graphic of the storms approach to the coast…and inland

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a weakened system that still retains tightly wrapped banding despite no longer presenting a visible eye.

TC 01B is tracking through a generally favorable environment with low to moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, very warm sea surface temperatures…and fair poleward outflow.

TC Amphan is expected to continue weakening due to high 25-30 knot wind shear and a deteriorating upper level environment, until it makes landfall shortly before 24 hours.

Dissipation is expected before 48 hours due to high >25 knot wind shear and terrain interaction.

Indian Meteorology Department…Cyclone

Bangladesh Meteorological Department…Cyclone

 

 

There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 98S, which is located approximately 430 NM northwest of Cocos Island, Australia

Here’s what the computer model is showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a broad low level circulation, with fragmented deep convection scattered around the periphery.

Environmental analysis reveals the disturbance is in a favorable environment, with good poleward outflow, warm sea surface temperatures…and low <15 knot wind shear.

Global models indicate that 98S will track southward while consolidating and intensifying.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high.

 

 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/sat_pages/thumbs/java/pacific/eastern/pacus/ir/100_20200519.1730.goes17.ir.x.pacus.x.jpg

Northeast Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days

Central North Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones

PDC will resume production of these daily reports when the 2020 hurricane season begins again on June 1st.

2019 Hurricane Season Summary for the Central Pacific Basin

The 2019 hurricane season featured five tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) area of responsibility, which is near the season average. Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30. The Central Pacific basin extends from 140°W to the International Date Line. Four to five tropical cyclones occur during an average year.

Hurricane Erick was the first tropical cyclone of the season in the Central Pacific, moving into the basin from the east on July 30. Erick rapidly intensified to a major hurricane (category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) later that day, then steadily weakened as it passed far south of the main Hawaiian Islands.

Tropical Storm Flossie entered the basin on August 3 and approached Hawaii from the east, eventually dissipating before reaching the islands. Tropical Depression 12-E entered the basin on September 4 and strengthened to Tropical Storm Akoni. Akoni was the first tropical cyclone to be named from the Central Pacific list of names since Hurricane Walaka in 2018.

Tropical Depression Kiko entered the basin on September 24 and immediately dissipated. Tropical Storm Ema, the second cyclone to be named from the Central Pacific list of names, developed southwest of the main Hawaiian Islands on October 12. Ema dissipated over the southern portion of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument shortly before crossing between French Frigate Shoals and Maro Reef.

Impacts to the State of Hawaii: Swells from Tropical Cyclone Barbara, which dissipated just before crossing into the Central Pacific basin, led to high surf along east facing shores of the state during July 6-9. Remnant moisture from Barbara also led to heavy rain across Maui and Hawaii Counties during July 8-11. Swells generated by Tropical Cyclones Erick and Flossie led to high surf along east and south facing shores during August 1-6. Moisture associated with Erick also contributed to heavy rain over Hawaii County on August 2, and across Kauai County during August 4-5.

Hurricane Season Outlook: NOAA’s 2019 hurricane season outlook issued on May 22, 2019, called for five to eight tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific basin, with a 70% chance of above-normal tropical cyclone activity, a 20% chance of near-normal activity, and a 10% chance of below-normal activity. The 2019 season started with an El Niño event that was expected to last through the fall. Instead, steady cooling commenced early in the summer leading to neutral conditions by the heart of the hurricane season.

Western North Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 01B (Amphan)

JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical map

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android wwwices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

 

Connect with us