Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    20 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Kahemba, Bandundu - Congo (Kinshasa)

    54 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Tshikapa, Kasa-Occidental - Congo (Kinshasa)

    54 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lucapa, Lunda Norte - Angola

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    58 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (East of Skuppah Fire), Canada

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Utah County (Bennion Creek Fire), Utah, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Carbon County (Crooked Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Powell (Robertson Draw Fire), Wyoming - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Helena (Deep Creek Fire), Montana - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Graham County (Pinnacle Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Moab (Pack Creek Fire), Utah - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Pinal and Gila Counties (Telegraph Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Storms - New Zealand

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Tulungagung Regency, East Java, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Storms - Phatthalung, Thailand

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Potential Tropical Cyclone - Three

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cameroon

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Oaxaca, Mexico

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern Denmark

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Latvia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Western Poland

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Portugal

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tasmania, Australia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Goias, Brazil

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Port-Vendres Commune, France

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 178 km SE of Hihifo, Tonga

    14 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Demopolis, AL Region, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mandeville--Covington, LA Region, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nepal

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bhutan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bekasi City, West Java, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Indragiri Hulu Regency, Riau, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sijunjung Regency, West Sumatra, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Lewotolo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 72 km ESE of Amahai, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - La Rioja, Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Guyana

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Guyana

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Eastern France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Spain

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Uruguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - northern Qinghai, China

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Thailand

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Hong Kong

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Japan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nyiragongo, DR Congo

    1 week ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    10 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
May 16, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 01A (Tauktae) is located approximately 78 NM west-southwest of Mumbai, India

 

 

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

One tropical storm, Andres, already formed earlier this month. The next named storm that develops this season will be Blanca.

 

Tropical Cyclone 01A (Tauktae)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/01A_170000sair.jpg

Sustained 120 knot winds…with gusts to 145 knots (as of Warning Number 12)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows deep compact system with a ragged 12 NM eye.

The upper-level analysis indicates favorable environmental conditions with strong poleward outflow, low to moderate wind shear (10-15 knots), and warm sea surface temperatures.

The system is currently undergoing rapid intensification, fueled by a favorable environment lasting through the next 6 hours and will reach a peak intensity of 105 knots.

Thereafter, the system will begin a weakening trend as it enters a region of higher shear, rounds the ridge axis, and then makes landfall between Veraval and Mahuva, India, between 24 and 36 hours.

After making landfall, the system will begin to weaken rapidly over the rugged terrain before completing dissipation b 72 hours, possibly sooner.

 

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 90S, which is located approximately 231 NM northeast of Diego Garcia

Here’s was the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals a small pocket of convection obscuring an ill-defined low level circulation.

Analysis indicates a favorable environment for development characterized by poleward outflow and very warm sea surface temperatures, marginally offset by low to moderate 10-20 knot wind shear.

Global models generally agree that invest 90S will propagate southwestward while remaining elongated with a marginal strengthening of winds in the southern periphery.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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