Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Storms - New Zealand

    10 minutes ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Tulungagung Regency, East Java, Indonesia

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Phatthalung, Thailand

    33 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    59 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Potential Tropical Cyclone - Three

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Kahemba, Bandundu - Congo (Kinshasa)

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Tshikapa, Kasa-Occidental - Congo (Kinshasa)

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lucapa, Lunda Norte - Angola

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (East of Skuppah Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Utah County (Bennion Creek Fire), Utah, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Carbon County (Crooked Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Powell (Robertson Draw Fire), Wyoming - United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Helena (Deep Creek Fire), Montana - United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Graham County (Pinnacle Fire), Arizona, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Prescott (Cornville Fire), Arizona - United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Moab (Pack Creek Fire), Utah - United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Pinal and Gila Counties (Telegraph Fire), Arizona, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cameroon

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Oaxaca, Mexico

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern Denmark

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Latvia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Western Poland

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Portugal

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tasmania, Australia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Goias, Brazil

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Port-Vendres Commune, France

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 178 km SE of Hihifo, Tonga

    13 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Demopolis, AL Region, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mandeville--Covington, LA Region, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nepal

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bhutan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bekasi City, West Java, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Indragiri Hulu Regency, Riau, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sijunjung Regency, West Sumatra, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Lewotolo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 72 km ESE of Amahai, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - La Rioja, Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Guyana

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Guyana

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Eastern France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Spain

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Uruguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - northern Qinghai, China

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Thailand

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Hong Kong

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Japan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nyiragongo, DR Congo

    1 week ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    10 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
May 13, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 03W is located approximately 40 NM southwest of Davao, Philippines

 

Tropical Cyclone 03W

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/03W_140000sair.jpg

Sustained 25 knot winds…with gusts to 35 knots (as of Warning Number 6)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows an exposed low-level circulation displaced west of an isolated deep convective burst. However, a color composite microwave image indicate shallow banding wrapping into a compact, well-defined center.

Environmental analysis indicates a marginally favorable environment, with low vertical wind shear, weak poleward outflow and warm sea surface temperatures.

TS 03W is forecast to track westward to west-northwestward through the forecast period under the steering influence of the high pressure ridge positioned to the north.

TS 03W is expected to intensify slightly to 40 knots by 12 hours, but will weaken as it tracks over Mindanao from 12 to 36 hours. After 36 hours, the system will gradually dissipate due to increasing (20-25 knots) of wind shear, and upper-level convergence associated with a persistent upper-level trough.

 

 

20210513.231000.IO922021.ahi.himawari-8.Infrared-Gray.30kts.95p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 92A, which is located approximately 530 NM south of Mumbai, India

Here’s was the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals a broad area of deep convection with formative banding.

Environmental analysis indicate invest 92A is in a favorable environment for development with robust radial aloft, very warm sea surface temperature…and low (10-15 knot) wind shear.

Global models are in good agreement that invest 92A will consolidate quickly and intensify…as it tracks northward over the next 24-48 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25-30 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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