Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Tropical Cyclone - Twentyeight

    15 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    30 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Chittagong - Bangladesh

    49 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Soufrière St. Vincent, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Louis, MO--IL Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Telimele, Kindia - Guinea

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Chico, California - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Pinal County (Margo Fire), Arizona, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Safford, Arizona - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Cyclone - Seroja

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Excelsior Springs, MO Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 44 km SSW of Gongdanglegi Kulon, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 168 km SSW of Sarangani, Philippines

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 21 km S of Sumberpucung, Indonesia

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - South Shetland Islands

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 195 km N of Madang, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Pacific Ocean

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - New South Wales, Australia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Switzerland

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Loreto, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - British Columbia, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cusco, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Uruguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Quilotoa, Ecuador

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Bjaur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province, Pakistan

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Dominican Republic

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Valle Cannobina Municipality, Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern Africa

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Butembo, DRC

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    8 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
March 12, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 24S (Habana) is located approximately 767 NM east of Port Louis, Mauritius

 

Tropical Cyclone 24S (Habana)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/24S_121800sair.jpg

Sustained 110 knot winds…with gusts to 135 knots (as of Warning Number 18)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows that the system has peaked and is on the decline, with convection becoming more ragged.

Overall, the system remains insulated from the mid-latitude westerlies in a low shear environment. TC 24S is moving away from a region of warm sea surface temperatures, towards a region of cooler water, where it will remain until it turns toward the west. The cooling waters coupled with upwelling generated by the slow movement of the system…will induce steady weakening.

Between 24 and 48 hours, TC 24S will lose steering influence from a subtropical ridge (str) to the southeast and meander until it’s picked up by another str building from the southwest. This second anticyclone will nudge TC Habana westward and keep it equatorward of heavy wind shear.

As it resumes its westward track and leaves behind the cooler upwelled sea surface temperatures, it will move through marginally favorable waters and gradually weaken to near gale force by the end of the forecast. So long as the storm stays equatorward of the 22nd latitude, it will avoid heavy shear and decay primarily due to oceanographic factors.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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