CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
Eastern north Pacific
>>> Here’s what the computer models are showing / this disturbance is being referred to as Invest 92E
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. However, the circulation of the system remains broad and elongated and it still lacks a well-defined center.
Development of this system into a short-lived tropical depression is still likely before environmental conditions become less favorable by late Monday. The low pressure area is expected to move slowly westward well south of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent
>>> A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a day or two.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development, and a tropical depression could develop by the end of the week as the system moves slowly northwestward or northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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