Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - W of Kahemba, Bandundu - Congo (Kinshasa)

    35 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Tshikapa, Kasa-Occidental - Congo (Kinshasa)

    35 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lucapa, Lunda Norte - Angola

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    39 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (East of Skuppah Fire), Canada

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Utah County (Bennion Creek Fire), Utah, United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Carbon County (Crooked Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Powell (Robertson Draw Fire), Wyoming - United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Helena (Deep Creek Fire), Montana - United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Graham County (Pinnacle Fire), Arizona, United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Moab (Pack Creek Fire), Utah - United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Pinal and Gila Counties (Telegraph Fire), Arizona, United States

    42 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - New Zealand

    50 minutes ago WARNING

  • Landslides - Tulungagung Regency, East Java, Indonesia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Storms - Phatthalung, Thailand

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Potential Tropical Cyclone - Three

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cameroon

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Oaxaca, Mexico

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern Denmark

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Latvia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Western Poland

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Portugal

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tasmania, Australia

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Goias, Brazil

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Port-Vendres Commune, France

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 178 km SE of Hihifo, Tonga

    13 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Demopolis, AL Region, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mandeville--Covington, LA Region, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nepal

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bhutan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bekasi City, West Java, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Indragiri Hulu Regency, Riau, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sijunjung Regency, West Sumatra, Indonesia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Lewotolo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 72 km ESE of Amahai, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - La Rioja, Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Guyana

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Guyana

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Eastern France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Spain

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Uruguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - northern Qinghai, China

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Thailand

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Hong Kong

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Japan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nyiragongo, DR Congo

    1 week ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    10 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
June 4, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 04W (Choi-wan) is located approximately 237 NM west-southwest of Kadena, AB

 

Eastern north Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/07/1800x1080.jpg

IR Satellite Image

Here’s what the computer models are showing / this disturbance is being referred to as Invest 92E

A broad area of low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while it moves slowly to the west-northwest well off the coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent

 

Tropical Cyclone 04W (Choi-wan)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/04w_050000sair.jpg

Sustained 35 knot winds…with gusts to 45 knots (as of Warning Number 25)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a heavily sheared convective structure with the low-level circulation center located just east of southern Taiwan.

The system resides in a marginally favorable environment with fair equatorward outflow and warm sea surface temperatures, and low (05-10 knot) wind shear from the northeast, along with the terrain interaction along the southern tip of Taiwan.

TD 04W will continue moving to the northeast along the sub-tropical ridge and interact with the baroclinic zone and begin to tap into the poleward outflow channel. The new outflow will allow for a slight intensification just before 04W moves over the cooler sea surface temperatures near the Ryuku Island chain…and start dissipating the system.

04W will encounter cooler sea surface temperatures by 24 hours, inhibiting any further development and completely dissipate the system by 36 hours, if not sooner.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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