Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Storms - Phatthalung, Thailand

    9 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Singapore

    35 minutes ago WARNING

  • Storms - Brunei

    39 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Potential Tropical Cyclone - Three

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - W of Kahemba, Bandundu - Congo (Kinshasa)

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Tshikapa, Kasa-Occidental - Congo (Kinshasa)

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Lucapa, Lunda Norte - Angola

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (East of Skuppah Fire), Canada

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Utah County (Bennion Creek Fire), Utah, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Carbon County (Crooked Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Powell (Robertson Draw Fire), Wyoming - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Helena (Deep Creek Fire), Montana - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Graham County (Pinnacle Fire), Arizona, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Prescott (Cornville Fire), Arizona - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Moab (Pack Creek Fire), Utah - United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Pinal and Gila Counties (Telegraph Fire), Arizona, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    5 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cameroon

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Oaxaca, Mexico

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern Denmark

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Latvia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Western Poland

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Portugal

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Tasmania, Australia

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Goias, Brazil

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    7 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Port-Vendres Commune, France

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    10 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 178 km SE of Hihifo, Tonga

    12 hours ago WATCH

  • Flood - Demopolis, AL Region, United States

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Mandeville--Covington, LA Region, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nepal

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bhutan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bekasi City, West Java, Indonesia

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Indragiri Hulu Regency, Riau, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sijunjung Regency, West Sumatra, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    23 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Lewotolo, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 72 km ESE of Amahai, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Somalia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northeastern Ethiopia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northern Kenya

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - La Rioja, Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southeastern United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Guyana

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southwestern Guyana

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Colombia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Western France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Eastern France

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Spain

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central Asia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Uruguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Southern Bolivia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - northern Qinghai, China

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Storms - Eastern Malaysia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Thailand

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Hong Kong

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Japan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Nyiragongo, DR Congo

    1 week ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    4 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    10 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    10 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
June 1, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 04W (Choi-wan) is located approximately 239 NM southeast of Manila, Philippines
Tropical Cyclone 02E (Blanca) is located approximately 570 miles south of the southern tip of Baja California
 

 

Eastern north Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 02E (Blanca)

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/07/1800x1080.jpg

BLANCA WEAKENING AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD…Advisory 9

What the computer models are showing

Blanca is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with a gradual slowdown and turn towards the west over the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days, and Blanca is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.

 

Tropical Cyclone 04W (Choi-wan)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/04W_011800sair.jpg

Sustained 30 knot winds…with gusts to 40 knots (as of Warning Number 13)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a small, exposed and increasingly disorganized low-level circulation, with a recent flare up of deep convection to the southwest of the center along the coast of Samar.

Environmental analysis reveals conditions inimical to development, with moderate (15-20 knot) wind shear, convergent flow and mid-level dry air…offsetting the good equatorward outflow and warm sea surface temperatures.

Over the next 36 hours, TD 04W is forecast to continue tracking northwestward, moving over northern Samar, southeastern Luzon, and the Palillo Islands, before making a final landfall along the eastern coast of northern Luzon just prior to 36 hours.

Once over the rugged terrain of northern Luzon, the rugged terrain will serve to disrupt the low level circulation, leading to a slow weakening trend. What remains of the low level center will emerge into the Luzon Strait around 48 hours and track northeastward into a break in the steering ridge.

However, increasing wind shear and convergent flow aloft will conspire to dissipate the system no later than 72 hours, as it merges with the southern end of a baroclinic zone east of Taiwan. Dissipation over northern Luzon, prior to reemergence over water, also remains a possibility.

 

 

IR Satellite Image

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 90W, which is located approximately 278 NM west-southwest of Guam

Here’s was the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals a broad area of turning obscured by flaring convection that is being sheared to the southwest. Furthermore, imagery shows the broad nature of 90W, with potential multiple centers of circulation embedded within the broader overall rotation.

Upper level analysis indicates 90W is in a favorable environment for development with low to moderate (10-20 knot) wind shear, good divergence aloft, and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in good agreement that 90W will continue to track generally northwestward and though overall conditions are favorable, the lack of a distinct, consolidated low level center at this time, will serve to limit the potential development.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.

 

 

IR Satellite Image

There’s a second tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93S, which is located approximately 273 NM west-northwest of Cocos Island, Australia

Here’s was the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals formative banding and deep convection obscuring a broad low level circulation.

Environmental analysis shows favorable conditions for development with strong poleward outflow, low (10-15 knot) wind shear, and warm sea surface temperature.

Numerical models are in agreement that 93s will track generally southeastward along a weak baroclinic boundary with only a slight window for intensification over the next 12-24 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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