CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 08W…is located approximately 46 NM southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam – Final Warning
Eastern North Pacific
Central North Pacific
There are no tropical disturbances under investigation by either the National Hurricane Center (NHC), or the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)…at the time of this writing
Tropical Cyclone 08W – Final Warning
Sustained 25 knot winds…with gusts to 35 knots (as of Warning Number 2)
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a ragged deep convective structure beginning to localize around a low-level circulation center, with deep convective bursts over mainly the western and southern semicircles. A partial microwave image indicates fragmented, formative banding primarily over the western semicircle.
The environmental analysis is marginally favorable due to the strong upper-level easterly outflow, which is predominately offset by the moderate to high wind shear.
TD 08W is forecast to track around the southwest periphery of the deep-layered ridge toward Vietnam through the remainder of the forecast period. The system is currently disorganized, but will consolidate around the circulation center as the strong wind shear will begin to decrease to 10-15 knots within the next 12 hours.
Once the wind shear decreases, the strong outflow will help the intensity reach a peak of 30 knots before making landfall south of Hanoi, Vietnam, just after 12 hours. Thereafter, the system will make landfall and begin dissipation over the rugged terrain over Vietnam and Laos.
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