Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - S of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    2 minutes ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    3 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Tunguskhaya, Chukot - Russia

    3 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Kachiry, Pavlodar - Kazakhstan

    3 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Vilyuysk, Chukot - Russia

    4 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    4 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    5 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Antalya - Turkey

    5 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    5 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    5 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    6 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    6 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    6 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    6 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    7 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Aniakchak, United States

    15 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - N of Olyokminsk, Chukot - Russia

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - N of Hudson Bay, Saskatchewan - Canada

    24 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Pukatawagan, Manitoba - Canada

    24 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Redding, California - United States

    25 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of La Ronge, Saskatchewan - Canada

    25 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Gillam, Manitoba - Canada

    25 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Lynn Lake, Manitoba - Canada

    25 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories - Canada

    26 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Norman Wells, Northwest Territories - Canada

    26 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Tsiigehtchic, Northwest Territories - Canada

    26 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Berens River, Manitoba - Canada

    27 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Waimea, Hawaii County, Hawaii

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Broadwater County (Woods Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Colville Reservation (Summit Trail Fire), Washington, United States

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (American Fork Fire), Montana, United States

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Harris Mountain), Montana, United States

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Butte and Plumas Counties (Dixie Fire), California, United States

    30 minutes ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 66 km W of Tobelo, Indonesia

    45 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Depression - Twelve

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Storm - Ignacio

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Hurricane - Hilda

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Sikonge, Tabora - Tanzania

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Luau, Moxico - Angola

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - San Antonio, TX Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Natal, Amazonas - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Abuna, Rondnia - Brazil

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Las Animas, CO Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 183 km NE of Tual, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Messina, Sicily - Italy

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Bill Nye Mountain Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Akokli Creek Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (Burnt Peak Fire), Montana, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (South Yaak Fire), Montana, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Three Valley Lake Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Shoshone County (Character Complex), Idaho, United States

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Bunting Road Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (White Rock Lake Fire), Canada

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern India

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nuristan Province, Afghanistan

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    6 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    9 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Serang Regency, Banten, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kazakhstan

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Vietnam

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    11 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    12 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 126 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

    14 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    15 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Crazy Creek Gorge), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Garfield County (Green Ridge Fire), Washington, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Trozzo Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Octopus Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Michaud Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Two Mile Road Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (NkMip Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Hunakwa Lake Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Momich Lake Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Alder Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Wallowa County (Elbow Creek Fire), Oregon, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Thomas Creek Fire), Canada

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Missoula County (Granite Pass Complex Fires), Montana/Idaho, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Asotin County (Lick Creek Fire), Washington, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Plumas County (Dixie-Jumbo Fires), Idaho, United States

    16 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - Mineral/Missoula/Sanders Counties (West Lolo Complex), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    18 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    20 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cedar Creek/Delancy Fires), California, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    21 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 65 km SW of San Carlos, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kadovar, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Garrison Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (July Mountain Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cub Creek 2 Fire), Washington, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Chasm Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Young Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Tremont Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Flat Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (South of Canim Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Lytton Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckay Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Sparks Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 26 km SSW of Mandráki, Greece

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Trail Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lemhi County (Mud Lick Fire), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Nez Perce and Lewis Counties (Snake River Complex Fires), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 9 km ESE of Sullana, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Flathead County (Hay Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Routt County (Morgan Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Klamath County (Bootleg Fire), Oregon, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Costa Rica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central and Eastern Europe

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Qoubaiyat, Lebanon

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Kef and Jendouba Governorates, Tunisia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Brenda Creek Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mount Porter Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckinley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Big Stick Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Sherwood Fire), Washington, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Spruce Canyon Fire), Washington, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Divide Complex - Balsinger Fire), Montana, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ulawun, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola (Haiti and Dominican Republic)

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
July 22, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 09W (In-fa)…is located approximately 198 NM southwest of Kadena AB
Tropical Cyclone 10W (Cempaka)…is located approximately 85 NM east of Hanoi, Vietnam

 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

An area of disturbed weather located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions are generally conducive for some slow development of this system through the weekend before it moves across cooler waters early next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10-15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

 

Northwest Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 09W (In-fa)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/09W_230000sair.jpg

Sustained 75 knot winds…with gusts to 90 knots (as of Warning Number 28)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center…satellite and radar imagery indicate a general weakening trend with spiral banding over the southern semicircle and a large eye.

Upper-level analysis indicates favorable conditions with low wind shear and moderate radial outflow, although a small upper-level cyclone remains positioned over the system’s center diverging away from the center..

TY 09W is tracking slowly along the southern periphery of the ridge due to the presence of a competing near-equatorial ridge to the south.

The bulk of the models indicate the ridge should re-orient, as a mid-latitude trough propagates over northeast Asia, and accelerates the system north-northwestward through 72 hours toward the Shanghai region.

A turn to the northwest is expected after 36 hours, as the typhoon rounds the southwestern periphery of the ridge and an upper-level trough digs over Eastern China. Slight intensification to 90 knots is expected in the short-term, then gradual weakening as TY 09W approaches the China coast.

By 72 hours, the system will slow as a major shortwave trough digs over eastern China and tracks overland, leading to rapid weakening due primarily to weak poleward outflow, and eventual dissipation due to interaction with land.

 

Tropical Cyclone 10W (Cempaka)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/10W_230000sair.jpg

Sustained 25 knot winds…with gusts to 35 knots (as of Warning Number 19)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center…satellite imagery depicts a weakly-defined, partially-exposed low-level circulation with flaring deep convection. animated radar imagery indicates a poorly-defined circulation with disorganized convection.

In addition to land interaction, upper-level analysis indicates marginal conditions with weak equatorward outflow.

TD 10W continues to struggle overland with weak overall structure and is expected to turn southward and reemerge over the Gulf of Tonkin by 24 hours. Thereafter, TD 10W will track eastward under the steering influence of the low-level westerlies to the south.

Minimal re-intensification to 30 knots is anticipated by 24 hours, then steady weakening and dissipation by 48 hours near Hainan island.

Environmental conditions will remain marginal through 48 hours, with moderate to strong wind shear and weak outflow. There is a distinct possibility the system may dissipate earlier in the forecast period.

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/90W_222200sair.jpg

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 90W, which is located approximately 366 NM east-southeast of Iwo To, Japan

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, the system is currently classified as a subtropical storm/depression, generally characterized as having both tropical and mid-latitude cyclone features.

satellite imagery reveals a very weak, disorganized disturbance forming along the eastern extent of the monsoon trough.

Upper-level analysis indicates marginal conditions (strong northerly wind shear of 20-30 knots, with broad divergence) not conducive for tropical cyclone development, however, this disturbance is expected to develop quickly as a subtropical cyclone in response to a deep subtropical trough.

Over the next 1 to 2 days, invest 90W is forecast to intensify as it tracks northeastward within the deep upper-level trough.

After 48 hours, as the system tracks toward central Honshu, global models indicate the system will likely transition to a warm-core tropical system as it tracks over a warm pool of water east of the Kanto Plain.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18-23 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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