CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
Eastern North Pacific
Central North Pacific
There are no tropical disturbances under investigation by either the National Hurricane Center (NHC), or the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)…at the time of this writing
Here’s what the computer models are showing
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 96W, which is located approximately 195 NM north-northwest of Palau
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals flaring convection surrounding a wave axis…the system has not developed a circulation at this time.
Environmental analysis shows moderately favorable conditions for development, with good equatorward outflow, low (10-15 knot) wind shear, and very warm sea surface temperatures.
Numerical models are in general agreement that 96W will track northwestward but are split regarding intensification, with GFS and NAVGEM showing development over the next few days, although the ECMWF and JMA staying below warning criteria.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.
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