Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - SW of Sikonge, Tabora - Tanzania

    40 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Luau, Moxico - Angola

    40 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - San Antonio, TX Region, United States

    46 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Ignacio

    54 minutes ago WARNING

  • Hurricane - Hilda

    55 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Natal, Amazonas - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Abuna, Rondnia - Brazil

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Twelve

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aniakchak, United States

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Las Animas, CO Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - S of Kachiry, Pavlodar - Kazakhstan

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Vilyuysk, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Antalya - Turkey

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    2 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Olyokminsk, Chukot - Russia

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 183 km NE of Tual, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Messina, Sicily - Italy

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Pukatawagan, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Redding, California - United States

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of La Ronge, Saskatchewan - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Gillam, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lynn Lake, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Norman Wells, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Tsiigehtchic, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Berens River, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Waimea, Hawaii County, Hawaii

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Broadwater County (Woods Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Colville Reservation (Summit Trail Fire), Washington, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Bill Nye Mountain Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Akokli Creek Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (American Fork Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (Burnt Peak Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (South Yaak Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Harris Mountain), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Three Valley Lake Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Shoshone County (Character Complex), Idaho, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Bunting Road Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (White Rock Lake Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Butte and Plumas Counties (Dixie Fire), California, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern India

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nuristan Province, Afghanistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Serang Regency, Banten, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kazakhstan

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Vietnam

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    11 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 126 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

    13 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    14 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Crazy Creek Gorge), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Garfield County (Green Ridge Fire), Washington, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Trozzo Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Octopus Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Michaud Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Two Mile Road Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (NkMip Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Hunakwa Lake Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Momich Lake Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Alder Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Wallowa County (Elbow Creek Fire), Oregon, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Thomas Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Missoula County (Granite Pass Complex Fires), Montana/Idaho, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Asotin County (Lick Creek Fire), Washington, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Plumas County (Dixie-Jumbo Fires), Idaho, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - Mineral/Missoula/Sanders Counties (West Lolo Complex), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    19 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cedar Creek/Delancy Fires), California, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    20 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    23 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 65 km SW of San Carlos, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kadovar, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Garrison Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (July Mountain Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cub Creek 2 Fire), Washington, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Chasm Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Young Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Tremont Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Flat Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (South of Canim Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Lytton Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckay Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Sparks Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 26 km SSW of Mandráki, Greece

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Trail Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lemhi County (Mud Lick Fire), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Nez Perce and Lewis Counties (Snake River Complex Fires), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 9 km ESE of Sullana, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Flathead County (Hay Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Routt County (Morgan Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Klamath County (Bootleg Fire), Oregon, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Costa Rica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central and Eastern Europe

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Qoubaiyat, Lebanon

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Kef and Jendouba Governorates, Tunisia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Brenda Creek Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mount Porter Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckinley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Big Stick Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Sherwood Fire), Washington, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Spruce Canyon Fire), Washington, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Divide Complex - Balsinger Fire), Montana, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ulawun, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola (Haiti and Dominican Republic)

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
July 18, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 06E (Felicia)…is located about 1390 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Cyclone 07E (Guillermo)…is located about 460 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Cyclone 09W (In-Fa)…is located approximately 251 NM southeast of Kadena AB
Tropical Cyclone 10W (Cempaka)…is located approximately 104 NM southwest of Hong Kong

 

Eastern North Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/07/1800x1080.jpg

20210718.143032.EP062021.abi.goes-17.Infrared-Gray.115kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

FELICIA RAPIDLY WEAKENING

What the computer models are showing for this tropical cyclone

According to the NHC Advisory number 20…Felicia is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to the west is expected later tonight or on Monday. A general westward motion should then continue for a few days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Felicia is a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional weakening is expected during the next few days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km).

 

Tropical Cyclone 07E (Guillermo)

20210718.142032.EP072021.abi.goes-17.Infrared-Gray.45kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

GUILLERMO A LITTLE BIGGER…FASTER…STRONGER

What the computer models are showing for this tropical cyclone

According to the NHC advisory 7…Guillermo is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity will be possible overnight and early Monday.

Gradual weakening is forecast to begin by Monday night and continue for several days thereafter. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.

 

 

Northwest Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 09W (In-Fa)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/09W_190000sair.jpg

Sustained 50 knot winds…with gusts to 65 knots (as of Warning Number 12)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center…satellite imagery depicts an exposed low-level circulation center positioned along the western edge of a large area of deep convection. A microwave image indicates shallow banding wrapping tightly into a well-defined circulation, with improved deep convective banding over the eastern semicircle

Environmental analysis indicates marginally favorable conditions with gradually improving poleward outflow over the western semicircle as the upper low to the north-northwest weakens and shifts poleward into the west sea. Although mid-level dry air entrainment and wind shear continue to hinder convective development over the circulation, equatorward outflow
remains robust with warm sea surface temperatures.

The deep upper low in the West Sea continues to fill and drift poleward, and is now enhancing poleward outflow allowing TS 09W to consolidate. despite some mid-level dry air entrainment over the western semicircle, TS 09W should slowly intensify through 24 hours.

TD 09W is currently struggling to consolidate due primarily to the convergence aloft and dry air entrainment, therefore, TD 09W should slowly intensify through 24 hours.

After 24 hours, environmental conditions should gradually improve allowing the system to vent and sustain more centralized deep convection, which will moisten the mid-levels. This should lead to a faster rate of intensification with a peak of 85 knots anticipated by 96 hours. After 96 hours, interaction with Taiwan will weaken the system.

 

Tropical Cyclone 10W (Cempaka)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/10W_190000sair.jpg

Sustained 45 knot winds…with gusts to 55 knots (as of Warning Number 3)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center…satellite imagery depicts a consolidating, compact system with convective banding wrapping into a defined low-level circulation center. A microwave image also shows improved convective structure and a defined circulation.

Environmental analysis indicates a favorable environment with fair outflow aloft, low wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures.

TD 10W is forecast to track slowly west-northwestward to westward through 72 hours  under the steering influence of the weak ridge to the north. After  72, the system will slow under competing steering influences and turn gradually back to the southeast under the steering influence of the low-level westerly flow.

In general, the numerical model guidance supports the forecast track, however, there is a large degree of spread due to the complex, evolving synoptic steering environment. TD 10W should intensify quickly to a peak of 55 knots by 36 hours, just prior to landfall, with steady weakening as the system tracks over land.TD 10W will likely re-intensify near 120 hours, or shortly after reemerging back over water.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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