Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - SW of Sikonge, Tabora - Tanzania

    30 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Luau, Moxico - Angola

    30 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - San Antonio, TX Region, United States

    36 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Ignacio

    44 minutes ago WARNING

  • Hurricane - Hilda

    45 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Natal, Amazonas - Brazil

    51 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Abuna, Rondnia - Brazil

    51 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Twelve

    52 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aniakchak, United States

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Las Animas, CO Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - S of Kachiry, Pavlodar - Kazakhstan

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Vilyuysk, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Antalya - Turkey

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Olyokminsk, Chukot - Russia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 183 km NE of Tual, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Messina, Sicily - Italy

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Pukatawagan, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Redding, California - United States

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of La Ronge, Saskatchewan - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Gillam, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lynn Lake, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Norman Wells, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Tsiigehtchic, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Berens River, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Waimea, Hawaii County, Hawaii

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Broadwater County (Woods Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Colville Reservation (Summit Trail Fire), Washington, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Bill Nye Mountain Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Akokli Creek Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (American Fork Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (Burnt Peak Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (South Yaak Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Harris Mountain), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Three Valley Lake Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Shoshone County (Character Complex), Idaho, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Bunting Road Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (White Rock Lake Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Butte and Plumas Counties (Dixie Fire), California, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern India

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nuristan Province, Afghanistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Serang Regency, Banten, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kazakhstan

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Vietnam

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 126 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

    13 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    13 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Crazy Creek Gorge), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Garfield County (Green Ridge Fire), Washington, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Trozzo Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Octopus Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Michaud Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Two Mile Road Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (NkMip Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Hunakwa Lake Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Momich Lake Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Alder Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Wallowa County (Elbow Creek Fire), Oregon, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Thomas Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Missoula County (Granite Pass Complex Fires), Montana/Idaho, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Asotin County (Lick Creek Fire), Washington, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Plumas County (Dixie-Jumbo Fires), Idaho, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - Mineral/Missoula/Sanders Counties (West Lolo Complex), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    17 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cedar Creek/Delancy Fires), California, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    20 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    22 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 65 km SW of San Carlos, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kadovar, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Garrison Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (July Mountain Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cub Creek 2 Fire), Washington, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Chasm Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Young Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Tremont Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Flat Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (South of Canim Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Lytton Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckay Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Sparks Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 26 km SSW of Mandráki, Greece

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Trail Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lemhi County (Mud Lick Fire), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Nez Perce and Lewis Counties (Snake River Complex Fires), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 9 km ESE of Sullana, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Flathead County (Hay Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Routt County (Morgan Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Klamath County (Bootleg Fire), Oregon, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Costa Rica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central and Eastern Europe

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Qoubaiyat, Lebanon

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Kef and Jendouba Governorates, Tunisia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Brenda Creek Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mount Porter Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckinley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Big Stick Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Sherwood Fire), Washington, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Spruce Canyon Fire), Washington, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Divide Complex - Balsinger Fire), Montana, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ulawun, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola (Haiti and Dominican Republic)

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
July 17, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 06E (Felicia)…is located about 1180 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Cyclone 07E (Guillermo)…is located about 380 miles south of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Cyclone 09W (In-Fa)…is located approximately 327 NM southeast of Kadena AB

 

Eastern North Pacific

 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/07/1800x1080.jpg

20210717.133032.EP062021.abi.goes-17.Infrared-Gray.125kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

FIERCE FELICIA FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN NEXT WEEK

What the computer models are showing for this tropical cyclone

According to the NHC Advisory number 16…Felicia is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early Sunday. A turn toward the west is anticipated by late Sunday, followed by another turn toward the west-southwest early next week.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Felicia is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Slight weakening is forecast by the end of the weekend, and a faster rate of weakening is expected on Monday and Tuesday.

Felicia remains a very small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km).

 

Tropical Cyclone 07E (Guillermo)

20210717.141032.EP072021.abi.goes-17.Infrared-Gray.30kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

LARGE GUILLERMO REMAINS DISORGANIZED AS IT HEADS AWAY FROM SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO

What the computer models are showing for this tropical cyclone

According to the NHC advisory 3…Guillermo is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).

A turn to the west is expected on Sunday, and this general motion should continue for a few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast over the next day or so.

A weakening trend should begin by Monday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.

 

Northwest Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 09W (In-Fa)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/09W_180000sair.jpg

Sustained 35 knot winds…with gusts to 45 knots (as of Warning Number 8)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center…satellite imagery depicts an exposed, broad low-level circulation center positioned along the western edge of a swath of deep convection associated with an extensive swath of convergent southerly low-level flow.

Environmental analysis indicates marginally favorable conditions with convergent upper-level westerlies and mid-level dry air entrainment over the western semicircle offset by robust poleward and equatorward outflow and warm sea surface temperature values.

TD 09W is tracking northwestward along the periphery of the ridge, but is expected to gradually turn west-northwestward as a deep upper low currently located west of Kyushu fills and shifts west, allowing the ridge to build over the East China Sea by 48 hours.

TD 09W is currently struggling to consolidate due primarily to the convergence aloft and dry air entrainment, therefore, TD 09W should slowly intensify through 24 hours.

After 24 hours, environmental conditions should gradually improve as the upper low and convergence aloft weaken, allowing the system to vent and sustain more centralized deep convection, which will moisten the mid-levels. This should lead to a faster rate of intensification with a peak of 85 knots anticipated by 120 hours.

 

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 99W, which is located approximately 188 NM south-southeast of Hong Kong

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals broad turning with formative convective banding over the northeast quadrant.

Environmental analysis indicates favorable conditions with good westward outflow aloft, low (5-10 knots) wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures.

GFS and ICON both indicate invest 99W will consolidate and intensify as it tracks to the west-northwest over the next 24-48 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 13-18 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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