Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - SW of Sikonge, Tabora - Tanzania

    26 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Luau, Moxico - Angola

    26 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - San Antonio, TX Region, United States

    31 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Ignacio

    40 minutes ago WARNING

  • Hurricane - Hilda

    41 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Natal, Amazonas - Brazil

    47 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Abuna, Rondnia - Brazil

    47 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Twelve

    48 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aniakchak, United States

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Las Animas, CO Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - S of Kachiry, Pavlodar - Kazakhstan

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Vilyuysk, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Antalya - Turkey

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Olyokminsk, Chukot - Russia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 183 km NE of Tual, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Messina, Sicily - Italy

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Pukatawagan, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Redding, California - United States

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of La Ronge, Saskatchewan - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Gillam, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lynn Lake, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Norman Wells, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Tsiigehtchic, Northwest Territories - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Berens River, Manitoba - Canada

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Waimea, Hawaii County, Hawaii

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Broadwater County (Woods Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Colville Reservation (Summit Trail Fire), Washington, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Bill Nye Mountain Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Akokli Creek Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (American Fork Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (Burnt Peak Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (South Yaak Fire), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Harris Mountain), Montana, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Three Valley Lake Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Shoshone County (Character Complex), Idaho, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Bunting Road Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (White Rock Lake Fire), Canada

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Butte and Plumas Counties (Dixie Fire), California, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern India

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nuristan Province, Afghanistan

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Serang Regency, Banten, Indonesia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kazakhstan

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Vietnam

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 126 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

    13 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    13 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Crazy Creek Gorge), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Garfield County (Green Ridge Fire), Washington, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Trozzo Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Octopus Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Michaud Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Two Mile Road Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (NkMip Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Hunakwa Lake Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Momich Lake Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Alder Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Wallowa County (Elbow Creek Fire), Oregon, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Thomas Creek Fire), Canada

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Missoula County (Granite Pass Complex Fires), Montana/Idaho, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Asotin County (Lick Creek Fire), Washington, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Plumas County (Dixie-Jumbo Fires), Idaho, United States

    15 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - Mineral/Missoula/Sanders Counties (West Lolo Complex), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    16 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cedar Creek/Delancy Fires), California, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    19 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    22 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 65 km SW of San Carlos, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kadovar, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Garrison Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (July Mountain Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cub Creek 2 Fire), Washington, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Chasm Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Young Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Tremont Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Flat Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (South of Canim Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Lytton Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckay Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Sparks Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 26 km SSW of Mandráki, Greece

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Trail Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lemhi County (Mud Lick Fire), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Nez Perce and Lewis Counties (Snake River Complex Fires), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 9 km ESE of Sullana, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Flathead County (Hay Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Routt County (Morgan Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Klamath County (Bootleg Fire), Oregon, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Costa Rica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central and Eastern Europe

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Qoubaiyat, Lebanon

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Kef and Jendouba Governorates, Tunisia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Brenda Creek Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mount Porter Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckinley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Big Stick Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Sherwood Fire), Washington, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Spruce Canyon Fire), Washington, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Divide Complex - Balsinger Fire), Montana, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ulawun, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola (Haiti and Dominican Republic)

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
July 16, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 06E…is located about 1030 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Tropical Cyclone 09W…is located approximately 477 NM southeast of Kadena AB

 

Eastern North Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/07/1800x1080.jpg

20210717.040031.EP062021.abi.goes-17.Infrared-Gray.115kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

POWERFUL YET COMPACT FELICIA CONTINUES WESTWARD

What the computer models are showing for this tropical cyclone

According to the NHC Advisory number 12…Felicia is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts.

Felicia is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Slow weakening is expected to begin by late tonight or early Saturday and continue through early next week.

Felicia remains a small tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km).

 

20210716.053031.EP972021.abi.goes-17.Infrared-Gray.20kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

Here’s what the models are showing for what’s being referred to as Invest 97E

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the coast of southwestern Mexico are gradually becoming better organized.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or on Saturday and move west-northwestward to westward at around 15 mph, a few hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

 

Northwest Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 09W

20210716.142000.WP092021.ahi.himawari-8.Infrared-Gray.25kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

Sustained 30 knot winds…with gusts to 40 knots (as of Warning Number 4)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center…satellite imagery depicts building convection that continues to completely obscure the low level circulation center.

TD 09W will track generally north-northwestward through 48 hours under the influence of the steering ridge. During this time, favorable to marginally favorable environmental conditions will allow for gradual intensification to 55 knots by this time. Thereafter, a repositioning of the steering ridge will lead to a generally west-northwestward track.

Additionally, the upper level cyclonic circulation currently positioned to the north of the system will track westward over mainland china by this time and potentially enhance the outflow of the system. This enhanced outflow, coupled with low wind shear and continued warm sea surface temperatures, will allow for continued intensification.

Thereafter, with the system reaching typhoon strength by 72 hours. After 96 hours, wind shear will become unfavorable (greater than 20 knots) and the system will begin to weaken.

 

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 99W, which is located approximately 224 NM south-southeast of Hong Kong

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals broad turning with flaring convection overhead.

Environmental analysis indicates favorable conditions for development with strong westward outflow aloft and warm sea surface temperatures, offset by low to moderate (10-20 knot) wind shear.

GFS has been consistent with formation of a tropical cyclone near this location for the last two model runs and depicts invest 99W tracking southwest over the next 24-48 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 5-10 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is Low.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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