Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Wildfire - SW of Sikonge, Tabora - Tanzania

    14 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Luau, Moxico - Angola

    14 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Flood - San Antonio, TX Region, United States

    20 minutes ago WARNING

  • Tropical Storm - Ignacio

    28 minutes ago WARNING

  • Hurricane - Hilda

    29 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Natal, Amazonas - Brazil

    35 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Abuna, Rondnia - Brazil

    36 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Depression - Twelve

    37 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Aniakchak, United States

    55 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Las Animas, CO Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - S of Kachiry, Pavlodar - Kazakhstan

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Vilyuysk, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Sangar, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Antalya - Turkey

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Khandyga, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mirnyy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - N of Terbyas, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NE of Chernyshevskiy, Chukot - Russia

    1 hour ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - N of Olyokminsk, Chukot - Russia

    7 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    1 hour ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.9 - 183 km NE of Tual, Indonesia

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Messina, Sicily - Italy

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Pukatawagan, Manitoba - Canada

    2 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - W of Redding, California - United States

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of La Ronge, Saskatchewan - Canada

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NW of Gillam, Manitoba - Canada

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Lynn Lake, Manitoba - Canada

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - NE of Fort Simpson, Northwest Territories - Canada

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - E of Norman Wells, Northwest Territories - Canada

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - S of Tsiigehtchic, Northwest Territories - Canada

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SE of Berens River, Manitoba - Canada

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Waimea, Hawaii County, Hawaii

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Broadwater County (Woods Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Colville Reservation (Summit Trail Fire), Washington, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Bill Nye Mountain Fire), Canada

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Akokli Creek Fire), Canada

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (American Fork Fire), Montana, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (Burnt Peak Fire), Montana, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lincoln County (South Yaak Fire), Montana, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Harris Mountain), Montana, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Three Valley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Shoshone County (Character Complex), Idaho, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Bunting Road Fire), Canada

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (White Rock Lake Fire), Canada

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Butte and Plumas Counties (Dixie Fire), California, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Floods - Northern India

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Nuristan Province, Afghanistan

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Yerema, Irkutsk - Russia

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    7 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Floods - Serang Regency, Banten, Indonesia

    8 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Peninsular Malaysia

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kazakhstan

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Storms - Hong Kong

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Extreme heat - Vietnam

    9 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ibu, Indonesia

    10 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - 126 km SSE of Kuril’sk, Russia

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge

    11 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

    12 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    13 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Crazy Creek Gorge), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Garfield County (Green Ridge Fire), Washington, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Trozzo Creek Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Octopus Creek Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Michaud Creek Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Two Mile Road Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (NkMip Creek Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Hunakwa Lake Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (Momich Lake Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Alder Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Wallowa County (Elbow Creek Fire), Oregon, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Thomas Creek Fire), Canada

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Missoula County (Granite Pass Complex Fires), Montana/Idaho, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Asotin County (Lick Creek Fire), Washington, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Plumas County (Dixie-Jumbo Fires), Idaho, United States

    14 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    14 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfires - Mineral/Missoula/Sanders Counties (West Lolo Complex), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    16 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    17 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    18 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cedar Creek/Delancy Fires), California, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    19 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - E of Kos, Notio Aigaio - Greece

    22 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 65 km SW of San Carlos, Mexico

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Kadovar, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - SW of Mugla - Turkey

    1 day ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Garrison Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - British Columbia (July Mountain Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Okanogan County (Cub Creek 2 Fire), Washington, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Chasm Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Young Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Tremont Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Flat Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (South of Canim Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Lytton Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckay Creek Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Sparks Lake Fire), Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 26 km SSW of Mandráki, Greece

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Etna, Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Beaverhead County (Trail Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Lemhi County (Mud Lick Fire), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Nez Perce and Lewis Counties (Snake River Complex Fires), Idaho, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.2 - 9 km ESE of Sullana, Peru

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Flathead County (Hay Creek Fire), Montana, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Bagana, Papua New Guinea

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Routt County (Morgan Creek Fire), Colorado, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Klamath County (Bootleg Fire), Oregon, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Costa Rica

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Panama

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Switzerland

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Germany

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Central and Eastern Europe

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Northwestern United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Southwestern Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Qoubaiyat, Lebanon

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Kef and Jendouba Governorates, Tunisia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Austria

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - Spain

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Brenda Creek Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mount Porter Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Mckinley Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - British Columbia (Big Stick Lake Fire), Canada

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Sherwood Fire), Washington, United States

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Maine, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Stevens County (Spruce Canyon Fire), Washington, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Cascade County (Divide Complex - Balsinger Fire), Montana, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Ulawun, Papua New Guinea

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hispaniola (Haiti and Dominican Republic)

    4 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    1 year ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    1 year ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
July 15, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 06E…is located about 855 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

 

Eastern North Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/07/1800x1080.jpg

20210716.034031.EP062021.abi.goes-17.Infrared-Gray.95kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

FELICIA CONTINUES RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING…EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE OVERNIGHT

What the computer models are showing for this tropical cyclone

According to the NHC Advisory number 8…Felicia is moving toward the west near 9 mph. A gradual turn to the west-southwest is expected by Friday, and a westward motion is forecast this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected tonight, and Felicia is forecast to become a major hurricane overnight.

Some slow weakening is possible by this weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles.

 

20210716.053031.EP972021.abi.goes-17.Infrared-Gray.20kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

Here’s what the models are showing for what’s being referred to as Invest 97E

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for gradual development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend and move westward or west-northwestward at around 15 mph, a few hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

 

Northwest Pacific

20210715.150000.WP982021.ahi.himawari-8.Infrared-Gray.20kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 98W, which is located approximately 593 NM south-southeast of Kadena AB

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals a broad asymmetrical convective zone on the eastern boundary of the low level circulation. Despite the asymmetrical convective zone, 98W will consolidate and intensify.

Environmental analysis indicates favorable conditions for development with good outflow aloft, warm sea surface temperatures, and low (05-10 knot) wind shear.

Global and ensemble GFS has 98W intensifying within 18-36 hours and tracking west-northwest at a higher speed of advance to the Ryukyu Islands, while global and ensemble ECMWF have a gradual intensification pattern with a slower speed of advance to Kyushu, Japan. Current analysis indicates that ECMWF has been the more consistent model at handling the complexities of 98W over the last 48 hours.

In the upper levels, outflow is expected to gradually improve with decreasing wind shear over the next day, due to a favorable configuration of an upper low over western Japan and the upper low to the northeast.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high.

 

Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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