CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at this time
South Indian Ocean
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 98S, which is located approximately 450 NM southwest of Christmas Island
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows formative cloud bands wrapping into a disorganized low level circulation center.
Invest 98S is in an environment favorable for further tropical development, with robust poleward outflow, low <15 knot wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in good agreement that invest 98S will track to the southwest, and with slight intensification over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)