CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 08S (Danilo)…which is located approximately 611 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia, in the South Indian Ocean
South Indian Ocean
Tropical Cyclone 08S (Danilo)
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Sustained 70 knot winds…with gusts to 85 knots (as of Warning Number 13)
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery indicates that TC 08S has maintained compact deep central convection with short rain bands wrapped tighter into the center.
Analysis indicates a marginally favorable environment with moderate radial outflow and low 10-15 knot wind shear aloft, and warm along track sea surface temperatures.
The ridge to the south has assumed steering, and will drive the cyclone westward up to 72 hours, then west-southwestward.
The marginally favorable environment will sustain the current intensity up to 24 hours, Afterward, cooling sea surface temperatures and diminishing outflow induced by an approaching mid-latitude trough will gradually erode the system down to 50 knots by 120 hours…as it tracks over Mauritius.
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)