Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    34 minutes ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - N of Kissidougou, Faranah - Guinea

    16 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - W of Bor, Jungoli - South Sudan

    19 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - Fiji region

    3 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Klyuchevskoy, Russia

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - 35 km ENE of Villa Presidente Frei, Ñuñoa, Santiago, Chile, Chile

    9 hours ago WATCH

  • Wildfire - E of Norseman, Western Australia - Australia

    3 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.8 - Auckland Islands, New Zealand region

    3 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    4 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tropical Cyclone - Thirteen

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Sheveluch, Russia

    6 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 6.9 - South Shetland Islands

    7 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 25 km S of Colombia, Colombia

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Highsurf - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Highwind - Advisory (Hawaiian Islands)

    8 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tsunami (Pacific Ocean) - South Shetland Islands - 7.0

    8 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tsunami (Caribbean Sea) - South Shetland Islands - 7.0

    9 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Shetland Islands

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.4 - South Shetland Islands

    9 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Tsunami (US ATL/Gulf Coast/CAN) - in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean - 7.3

    10 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Wildfire - Tirua Commune, Chile

    13 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    16 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - 37 km NNW of Finschhafen, Papua New Guinea

    16 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - south of the Fiji Islands

    17 hours ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.2 - 37 km NW of Finschhafen, Papua New Guinea

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.6 - south of the Kermadec Islands

    19 hours ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Manam, Papua New Guinea

    21 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Raung, Indonesia

    22 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 5.7 - 36 km NW of Finschhafen, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    6 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    6 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Northeastern Madagascar

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Pakistan

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Queensland, Australia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - England, United Kingdom

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Wales, United Kingdom

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Eastern Sweden

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Switzerland

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Finland

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Paraguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northwestern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Zamboanga City, Philippines

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Java Province, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Aceh Province, Indonesia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Central Philippines

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bujumbura Province, Burundi

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Southern Austria

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Northern Italy

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Slovenia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - Alto Biobio Commune, Chile

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    6 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Santa Maria, Guatemala

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Fort Polk, LA Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Southwestern, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Flood - Lufkin, TX Region, United States

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Semeru, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern Kazakhstan

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Papua Province, Indonesia

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Sao Paulo, Brazil

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Floods - Bolivia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Kenya

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Central Asia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Hawaii, United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Merapi, Indonesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    6 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - La Soufriere, St Vincent and the Grenadines

    2 weeks ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    6 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    6 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    6 months ago WARNING

  • Floods - Madeira, Portugal

    3 weeks ago WARNING

  • Chikungunya - Chad

    3 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
January 3, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 08S (Danilo)…which is located approximately 468 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia, in the South Indian Ocean
Tropical Cyclone 09P (Imogen)…which is located approximately 283 NM west of Cairns, Australia – Final Warning

 

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 08S (Danilo)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/08S_040000sair.jpg

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Sustained 60 knot winds…with gusts to 75 knots (as of Warning Number 10)

According to the JTWC…TC 08S is undergoing Fujiwara interaction with the remnants of invest 93S, which has weakened and is currently rotating cyclonically along the western flank of TC 08S.

Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery depicts two discrete areas of deep convection: the eastern, larger area of expanding convection obscuring TC Danilo’s low level circulation center and a smaller, more linear area of flaring convection associated with the remnants of invest 93S.

Upper-level analysis reveals a generally favorable environment with low vertical wind shear, good equatorward and poleward outflow and warm sea surface temperatures. However, the absorption of invest 93S is likely hindering development. In general, there is now moderate uncertainty with improved agreement in the model trackers and a near-complete Fujiwara interaction with the remnants of invest 93S…lending moderate confidence to the JTWC track and intensity forecast.

Near 24 hours, invest 93s will get fully absorbed into TC 08S, allowing TC 08S to accelerate westward through 96 hours. After 96 hours, a broad trough will deepen east-southeast of Madagascar, which will produce a more westward to west-southwestward track.

TC 08S is expected to weaken slowly through 24 hours, although intensify steadily after 48 hours, as environmental conditions improve. Improved poleward venting associated with the aforementioned trough will lead to a period of significant intensification after 72 hours… with a peak intensity of 80 knots anticipated at 120 hours.

 

Tropical Cyclone 09P (Imogen) Final Warning

 

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/09P_031200sair.jpg

Here’s what the computer models are showing

Sustained 45 knot winds…with gusts to 55 knots (as of Warning Number 2)

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts strong flaring convection displaced to the southwest of the assessed low level circulation center.

Animated radar data  indicates that TC 09P made landfall near Karumba, Australia at 031200z.

Over the next 24 hours the system will continue to track slowly inland while steadily weakening and is expected to fully dissipating as a tropical cyclone over the southern Cape York Peninsula no later than 24 hours.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

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