Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    17 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Chittagong - Bangladesh

    22 minutes ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Soufrière St. Vincent, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

    43 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Louis, MO--IL Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Telimele, Kindia - Guinea

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Chico, California - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Pinal County (Margo Fire), Arizona, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Safford, Arizona - United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    1 hour ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Alachua, FL Region, United States

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    3 hours ago WARNING

  • Tropical Cyclone - Twentyeight

    5 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    5 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Cyclone - Seroja

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Excelsior Springs, MO Region, United States

    6 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 44 km SSW of Gongdanglegi Kulon, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 168 km SSW of Sarangani, Philippines

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 21 km S of Sumberpucung, Indonesia

    13 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - South Shetland Islands

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    11 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 195 km N of Madang, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    16 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Pacific Ocean

    19 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - New South Wales, Australia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Switzerland

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Loreto, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - British Columbia, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cusco, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Uruguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Quilotoa, Ecuador

    2 days ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Bjaur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province, Pakistan

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Dominican Republic

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Valle Cannobina Municipality, Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern Africa

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Butembo, DRC

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    8 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
February 9, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 19S (Faraji) is located approximately 848 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia
Tropical Cyclone 20P is located approximately 473 NM south-southeast of Suva, Fiji

Tropical Cyclone 19S (Faraji)

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/19S_091800sair.jpg

Sustained 110 knot winds…with gusts to 135 knots (as of Warning Number 10)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals deep central convection obscuring the low level circulation center.

Environmental analysis reveals TC 19S is tracking through an overall  marginally favorable environment, characterized by warm sea surface temperatures and low 10-15 knot wind shear…offset by limited eastward outflow.

TC 19S has begun to track southeastward as a building subtropical ridge to the east begins to take over as the primary steering mechanism, and thus limit further eastward progress. This ridge is expected to turn the system to a generally southward track through 24 hours. Afterwards, the storm will turn west as a ridge to the south begins to build.

Throughout the forecast period, TC 19S is expected to steadily weaken due to increasing wind shear and generally weak upper level outflow. Short duration bursts of convective activity are likely to occur on a diurnal cycle, potentially leading to fluctuations in intensity. Nevertheless, the overall intensity trend will be weakening through the forecast period.

 

 

Tropical Cyclone 20P

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/20P_100000sair.jpg

Sustained 45 knot winds…with gusts to 55 knots (as of Warning Number 1)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows convective banding wrapping into a partially exposed low level circulation with the associated deep convection being sheared over the eastern semi-circle.

Environmental analysis reveals TC 20P is tracking into a marginally favorable environment characterized by warm sea surface temperatures and robust dual channel upper level outflow…offset by persistent high 25-30  knots wind shear.

In the near term, the conducive sea surface temperatures and robust outflow aloft will allow the system a brief period of intensification to 50 knots by 12 hours. Afterwards, the system will steadily weaken due to continued high wind shear and rapidly cooling sea surface temperatures by 48 hours.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Connect with us