Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

  • Volcano - Suwanosejima, Japan

    15 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Karymsky, Russia

    17 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Aira, Japan

    21 minutes ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - Alaska, United States

    27 minutes ago WARNING

  • Floods - Southern, United States

    31 minutes ago WARNING

  • Flood - St. Louis, MO--IL Region, United States

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NE of Telimele, Kindia - Guinea

    46 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Wildfire - NW of Chico, California - United States

    48 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Pinal County (Margo Fire), Arizona, United States

    48 minutes ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - NW of Safford, Arizona - United States

    48 minutes ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sabancaya, Peru

    57 minutes ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Fuego, Guatemala

    1 hour ago WARNING

  • Flood - Alachua, FL Region, United States

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Sangay, Ecuador

    2 hours ago WARNING

  • Wildfire - SE of Chittagong - Bangladesh

    2 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Tropical Cyclone - Twentyeight

    4 hours ago INFORMATION

  • Volcano - Dukono, Indonesia

    4 hours ago WATCH

  • Tropical Cyclone - Seroja

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Popocatepetl, Mexico

    4 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Reventador, Ecuador

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Soufrière St. Vincent, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Flood - Excelsior Springs, MO Region, United States

    5 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 44 km SSW of Gongdanglegi Kulon, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 6.1 - 168 km SSW of Sarangani, Philippines

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Earthquake - 5.1 - 21 km S of Sumberpucung, Indonesia

    12 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.5 - South Shetland Islands

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Floods - Southeastern, United States

    10 hours ago WARNING

  • Earthquake - 6.0 - 195 km N of Madang, Papua New Guinea

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Volcano - Nevados de Chillán, Chile

    15 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Earthquake - 5.0 - South Pacific Ocean

    18 hours ago ADVISORY

  • Volcano - Sinabung, Indonesia

    1 day ago WATCH

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - North America

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Hawaii

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Pacaya, Guatemala

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Storms - India

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - New South Wales, Australia

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Avalanche - Switzerland

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Southern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Cold - Northern Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Extreme Heat - Mexico

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storms - Yukon, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Loreto, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Northern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Winter Storm - British Columbia, Canada

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Floods - Cusco, Peru

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Uruguay

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Storms - Eastern Brazil

    1 day ago WARNING

  • Volcano - Quilotoa, Ecuador

    1 day ago ADVISORY

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Europe

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Landslide - Bjaur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province, Pakistan

    2 days ago INFORMATION

  • Floods - Dominican Republic

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Wildfires - Valle Cannobina Municipality, Italy

    2 days ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Guinea

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern Madagascar

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern Africa

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - U.S. Virgin Islands

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Micronesia

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Northwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Southern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - High Plains United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Drought - Midwestern United States

    3 days ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Asia Pacific

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Ebola - Butembo, DRC

    1 month ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Middle East

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Latin America/Caribbean

    8 months ago WARNING

  • Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Africa

    8 months ago WARNING

VIEW ALL HAZARDS
February 14, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 19S (Faraji) is located approximately 1005 NM east of Port Louis, Mauritius – Final Warning

Tropical Cyclone 19S (Faraji) Final Warning

Sustained 30 knot winds…with gusts to 40 knots (as of Warning Number 19)

Here’s what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a fully exposed low level circulation center with isolated weak convection displaced well to the southeast, due to the strong northwesterly flow aloft.

Having dissipated below warning criteria due to the combined effects of dry air entrainment, northwesterly convergent flow aloft, and persistent moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, the remnants of TC 19S will continue tracking generally westward along the northern periphery of the low to mid-level subtropical ridge located to the south…but are not expected to redevelop.

 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc21/WPAC/91W.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20210215.023000.WP912021.ahi.himawari-8.Infrared-Gray.15kts.100p0.1p0.jpg

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 91W, which is located approximately 225 NM southeast of Yap

Here’s was the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals disorganized banding with flaring convection in the northeast periphery wrapping into a weak low level circulation center.

Upper level analysis shows invest 91W in a marginal environment for potential tropical development, with moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, fair northwestward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in agreement that Invest 91W will track westward with possible consolidation over the next 5-days.

Maximum sustained surface temperatures are estimated at 10-15 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

 

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc21/SHEM/93S.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20210215.023000.SH932021.seviri.msg-4.Infrared-Gray.25kts.100p0.1p0.jpg

There’s a second tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93S, which is located approximately 168 NM west-northwest of Maxixe, Mozambique

Here’s was the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals formative convective banding wrapping into a consolidating low level circulation.

An upper level previously positioned over the system has weakened and shifted to the northwest allowing poleward outflow to improve.

Global models are in agreement that Invest 93S will track eastward and emerge over warm waters in 36-48 hours, with poleward outflow enhanced by the strong upper level westerly flow to the south.

Maximum sustained surface temperatures are estimated at 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium.

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

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